TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of August 10 2026?
kalshi
polymarket

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of August 10 2026?

Volume:
$41,156

Above $2.699

 - Kalshi

Above $2.699 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 14, 2026

Closed: Aug 14, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $2.699

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,658
N/A
N/A
$3,044
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.599

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,199
N/A
N/A
$2,473
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $2.80

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$461
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.499

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$389
N/A
N/A
$248
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $0.999

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$299
N/A
N/A
$299
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $1.099

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $1.199

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $1.299

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $1.399

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $1.499

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $1.599

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $1.699

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $1.799

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.399

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
$150
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $2.70

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.899

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,916
N/A
N/A
$5,013
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $2.799

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,317
N/A
N/A
$3,056
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ $2.90

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,110
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $3.099

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,578
N/A
N/A
$2,578
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ $3.10

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$825
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ $3.20

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,505
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $3.199

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$215
N/A
N/A
$215
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ $2.10

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,284
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ $2.00

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,239
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ $3.30

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,010
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 54

Description

This group of markets tracks whether Natural Gas (NG) prices will reach specific thresholds during the week of August 10, 2026. The markets differ in their exact price thresholds and resolution criteria across two platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The markets use fundamentally different resolution criteria: Kalshi resolves based on a specific closing price on a specific date, while Polymarket resolves based on any high price achieved during the week.Hero tip: Trade with caution due to the significant difference in resolution logic. Kalshi markets require the price to close above the threshold on August 14, 2026, while Polymarket markets only require the price to reach the threshold at any point during the week. This creates potential for conflicting outcomes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves if the close price of the NGDU6 contract on August 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above the specified threshold. Key quote: "If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for natural gas using the NGDU6 contract on August 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above [threshold] USD/MMBtu, then the market resolves to Yes."
  • Polymarket: Resolves if any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of Natural Gas futures has a high price equal to or beyond the listed price during any trading session of the week of August 10, 2026. Key quote: "This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of August 10 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of Natural Gas futures has a final "High" price equal to or beyond the listed price."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of August 10 2026?

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the closing price of a 1-minute candlestick for natural gas using the NGDU6 contract at 5:00 PM EDT on August 14, 2026. The settlement uses the nearest listed contract month, switching to the next contract if the current one expires within 5 business days. Prices are rounded to three decimal places, and the candlestick close reflects the final price of the minute ending at 5:00 PM. Missing data defaults to the most recent available price. Each market has a unique threshold, and resolution occurs if the price exceeds its respective threshold.