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What will NASA say during their press conference?
kalshi

What will NASA say during their press conference?

Volume:
$92,317

Apollo

 - Kalshi

Apollo - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 14, 2026

Closed: Aug 14, 3:31 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Apollo

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,805
N/A
N/A
$6,192
Settled
Yes
kalshi

SpaceX

100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,403
N/A
N/A
$8,058
Settled
Yes
kalshi

ISS / International Space Station

100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,942
N/A
N/A
$7,327
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Moon Base

100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,447
N/A
N/A
$7,295
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Artemis

100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,337
N/A
N/A
$4,740
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Florida

100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,433
N/A
N/A
$4,095
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump / President

100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,335
N/A
N/A
$4,352
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Air Force

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,019
N/A
N/A
$4,179
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Space Force

100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,994
N/A
N/A
$3,541
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mars

100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,822
N/A
N/A
$3,262
Settled
Yes
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

0%
59%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,377
N/A
N/A
$8,310
Settled
No
kalshi

China / Chinese

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,434
N/A
N/A
$3,243
Settled
No
kalshi

Radiation

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,165
N/A
N/A
$2,051
Settled
No
kalshi

Event does not qualify

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,805
N/A
N/A
$1,804
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

The event centers around a scheduled NASA news conference where participants will monitor statements made by NASA representatives. Specific markets will resolve based on whether certain exact phrases are uttered during the official broadcast, requiring careful attention to the live or streamed content.

Kalshi

The event involves multiple markets, each resolving based on whether a NASA representative utters a specific phrase during the news conference scheduled for August 14, 2026. All markets share common resolution procedures: the live broadcast or stream is the primary source, with official transcripts used as a backup if needed. The event must be open to the press and conducted in an official capacity; presence alone or unofficial remarks do not qualify. If the event is canceled, postponed beyond 14 days, or otherwise unable to resolve normally, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, and all others resolve to No. Postponements announced within one day and rescheduled within 14 days allow markets to remain open. Exact phrase matching—including plurals or possessives—is required, with grammatical variations excluded. Proper nouns and noun phrases are considered in their plural forms when applicable.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to analyst forecasts, this market’s odds often reflect a more nuanced view of expected statements, incorporating real-time sentiment and trading activity. While analysts may provide broad expectations, traders on Kalshi continuously adjust positions based on new information, news, and speculation. This can lead to divergence, where market prices lean more toward certain outcomes if trader sentiment shifts differently than expert predictions. Monitoring both sources offers a fuller picture of anticipation surrounding the NASA press conference.

This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. After the NASA press conference, statements made by officials will be compared against the market’s possible outcomes. The result is determined by what is publicly reported and can be confirmed through news coverage, official transcripts, or authoritative sources, ensuring an objective resolution.

Several signals could shift this market before it resolves. Key updates from NASA, such as preview statements, official announcements, or interviews by spokespersons, may influence trader sentiment. Media speculation, expert commentary, and any related scientific discoveries or policy changes could also affect odds. As the conference date approaches, any surprise participants or agenda changes announced by NASA may cause rapid price movements on Kalshi.