TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 14, 3:31 PM EST
Kalshi
The event centers around a scheduled NASA news conference where participants will monitor statements made by NASA representatives. Specific markets will resolve based on whether certain exact phrases are uttered during the official broadcast, requiring careful attention to the live or streamed content.
The event involves multiple markets, each resolving based on whether a NASA representative utters a specific phrase during the news conference scheduled for August 14, 2026. All markets share common resolution procedures: the live broadcast or stream is the primary source, with official transcripts used as a backup if needed. The event must be open to the press and conducted in an official capacity; presence alone or unofficial remarks do not qualify. If the event is canceled, postponed beyond 14 days, or otherwise unable to resolve normally, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, and all others resolve to No. Postponements announced within one day and rescheduled within 14 days allow markets to remain open. Exact phrase matching—including plurals or possessives—is required, with grammatical variations excluded. Proper nouns and noun phrases are considered in their plural forms when applicable.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. After the NASA press conference, statements made by officials will be compared against the market’s possible outcomes. The result is determined by what is publicly reported and can be confirmed through news coverage, official transcripts, or authoritative sources, ensuring an objective resolution.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves. Key updates from NASA, such as preview statements, official announcements, or interviews by spokespersons, may influence trader sentiment. Media speculation, expert commentary, and any related scientific discoveries or policy changes could also affect odds. As the conference date approaches, any surprise participants or agenda changes announced by NASA may cause rapid price movements on Kalshi.