TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will MrBeast say during his next Youtube video?
kalshi

What will MrBeast say during his next Youtube video?

Volume:
$139,491

Million

 - Kalshi

Million - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 13, 2026

Closed: Jun 13, 12:15 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$24,837
N/A
N/A
$16,800
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Feastable

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,650
N/A
N/A
$14,078
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Subscribe / Subscribed

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,205
N/A
N/A
$5,617
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Billion

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,152
N/A
N/A
$4,979
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Contestant

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,221
N/A
N/A
$3,635
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sponsor / Sponsored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$29,670
N/A
N/A
$20,938
Settled
No
kalshi

Chandler

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,388
N/A
N/A
$10,630
Settled
No
kalshi

Beast

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,259
N/A
N/A
$8,612
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,730
N/A
N/A
$3,430
Settled
No
kalshi

Survivor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,547
N/A
N/A
$2,327
Settled
No
kalshi

Pokemon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,548
N/A
N/A
$1,342
Settled
No
kalshi

Twitch

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,282
N/A
N/A
$1,194
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

This event tracks whether MrBeast will say any of a predefined list of common words or phrases during his next YouTube video upload. The words span topics related to his typical content, including his brand names, collaborators, sponsorships, and common video themes like challenges and subscriber engagement.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on MrBeast's spoken words in the first full-length upload on his main YouTube channel (@MrBeast) after June 1st, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET, provided the video is at least four minutes long. YouTube Shorts, teasers, livestreams, community posts, and uploads on other channels are excluded. Each outcome tracks whether MrBeast uses the exact word or phrase (including plural or possessive forms), with grammatical inflections not required. Resolution prioritizes video evidence; if Kalshi employees cannot reach consensus from video alone, official transcripts will be consulted. The entire content of the first qualifying upload is considered for resolution.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader consensus rather than traditional analyst forecasts. Because MrBeast's content and catchphrases evolve frequently, formal analyst coverage of specific video statements is limited. The market odds instead aggregate the collective judgment of traders betting on which phrases or topics will appear. This crowdsourced approach often captures emerging patterns in MrBeast's recent videos faster than retrospective analysis, making market prices a dynamic alternative to static expert predictions.

The market resolves on Jun 27, 2026. Resolution is determined by reviewing MrBeast's next published YouTube video and confirming whether the predicted statement or phrase appears in the content. The specific wording, context, and verification method are defined in the market's resolution criteria at the time of trading. Traders should review the exact outcome definition before placing positions to ensure clarity on what constitutes a valid match for their chosen prediction.

Several factors could shift odds before resolution. MrBeast's announcement of the video's topic or theme would immediately influence which statements traders expect to hear. Clips or teasers released on social media could hint at content direction. Changes in MrBeast's recent video patterns or trending catchphrases may prompt traders to reassess probabilities. Additionally, as the video release date approaches, anticipation and final positioning by traders can cause rapid price swings. Any public statements by MrBeast about upcoming content themes could also materially impact market odds.