TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 11:15 AM EST
Kalshi
During a televised political interview, a public figure addresses various topics relevant to current events and policy matters. Specific keywords or phrases spoken by the speaker during the broadcast determine the outcome of various tracking metrics.
The event resolves based on whether Mike Waltz speaks specific exact phrases during his official appearance on Meet the Press. Each market corresponds to a unique phrase or set of phrases (e.g., "Hormuz", "NATO", "Iran (5+ times)"). The live broadcast or stream serves as the primary source for verification, with video analysis taking precedence; if video consensus cannot be reached among Kalshi employees, official internal and external transcripts are used. Only content included in the original broadcast or stream counts—additional content, advertisements, previously aired material, archival footage, and recordings from unrelated contexts are excluded. Promotional content during the event counts, but private or unofficial statements (e.g., inaudible conversations, hot mic remarks) do not. If the event is canceled, postponed beyond 14 calendar days, or otherwise unable to proceed under the payout criterion, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, and all others resolve to No. Postponements announced within one calendar day for rescheduling within 14 days keep markets open.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the aggregate expectations of all participants. The market uses a logarithmic market scoring rule to incentivize accurate forecasting, and volume of $88,943 provides insight into liquidity and interest. Prices update constantly based on new bets, news, and shifts in public discourse surrounding Mike Waltz’s expected remarks.
This market resolves around Aug 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch for any official transcripts, reputable news coverage, or verified statements that clearly indicate what was said, determining the final result.
Key signals include upcoming interviews, public appearances, or political events involving Mike Waltz that may hint at his likely statements. Media coverage, polling data, and reactions from other political figures can also shift trader sentiment. Any surprise announcements or debates leading up to Aug 10, 2026 are likely to create noticeable price movement in this market.