TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will Mike Waltz say during Meet the Press?
kalshi

What will Mike Waltz say during Meet the Press?

Volume:
$88,943

China / Chinese

 - Kalshi

China / Chinese - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 26, 2026

Closed: Jul 26, 11:15 AM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

China / Chinese

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,680
N/A
N/A
$5,855
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iran (5+ times)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,402
N/A
N/A
$7,565
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,698
N/A
N/A
$5,039
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Yemen / Houthi

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,700
N/A
N/A
$4,191
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Israel / Israeli

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,644
N/A
N/A
$4,827
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,853
N/A
N/A
$2,608
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Democracy / Democratic

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,844
N/A
N/A
$14,450
Settled
No
kalshi

Hormuz

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,929
N/A
N/A
$12,051
Settled
No
kalshi

National Security

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,908
N/A
N/A
$6,248
Settled
No
kalshi

America First

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,114
N/A
N/A
$6,111
Settled
No
kalshi

Tariff

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,772
N/A
N/A
$2,652
Settled
No
kalshi

Venezuela / Cuba

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,005
N/A
N/A
$1,885
Settled
No
kalshi

NATO

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,959
N/A
N/A
$1,881
Settled
No
kalshi

Event does not qualify

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$436
N/A
N/A
$428
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

During a televised political interview, a public figure addresses various topics relevant to current events and policy matters. Specific keywords or phrases spoken by the speaker during the broadcast determine the outcome of various tracking metrics.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on whether Mike Waltz speaks specific exact phrases during his official appearance on Meet the Press. Each market corresponds to a unique phrase or set of phrases (e.g., "Hormuz", "NATO", "Iran (5+ times)"). The live broadcast or stream serves as the primary source for verification, with video analysis taking precedence; if video consensus cannot be reached among Kalshi employees, official internal and external transcripts are used. Only content included in the original broadcast or stream counts—additional content, advertisements, previously aired material, archival footage, and recordings from unrelated contexts are excluded. Promotional content during the event counts, but private or unofficial statements (e.g., inaudible conversations, hot mic remarks) do not. If the event is canceled, postponed beyond 14 calendar days, or otherwise unable to proceed under the payout criterion, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, and all others resolve to No. Postponements announced within one calendar day for rescheduling within 14 days keep markets open.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the current odds and price history for the Mike Waltz statement market, along with a live view of 24-hour volume of $85,121. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different outcomes based on recent news and public sentiment surrounding Mike Waltz's upcoming appearance. The dashboard updates in real time, letting you see shifts in market expectations as the event approaches.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the aggregate expectations of all participants. The market uses a logarithmic market scoring rule to incentivize accurate forecasting, and volume of $88,943 provides insight into liquidity and interest. Prices update constantly based on new bets, news, and shifts in public discourse surrounding Mike Waltz’s expected remarks.

This market resolves around Aug 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch for any official transcripts, reputable news coverage, or verified statements that clearly indicate what was said, determining the final result.

Key signals include upcoming interviews, public appearances, or political events involving Mike Waltz that may hint at his likely statements. Media coverage, polling data, and reactions from other political figures can also shift trader sentiment. Any surprise announcements or debates leading up to Aug 10, 2026 are likely to create noticeable price movement in this market.