TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 3:20 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves monitoring a specific television appearance by Mike Johnson to determine whether he utters certain exact phrases during his broadcast. Resolution depends on verifying his official statements within the live stream, with specific criteria for what constitutes a qualifying utterance.
The event resolves based on whether Mike Johnson utters specified exact phrases during his official appearance on Fox News: Saturday in America. Each market corresponds to a different phrase; if Johnson says the phrase (or its plural/possessive form) during the broadcast while speaking in an official capacity, that market resolves to Yes. Video from the live broadcast is the primary source for verification, with official transcripts used as a secondary reference if needed. The event qualifies only if Johnson is speaking officially—inaudible or unofficial remarks do not count. If the event is canceled or fails to meet qualification criteria, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, and all others resolve to No. Postponements announced within a day and rescheduled within 14 days keep markets open. Promotional content counts, but advertisements and previously aired material do not.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once Mike Johnson’s Fox News: Saturday in America appearance is verifiable from credible public reporting. The specific words or themes he uses during the broadcast will determine which market outcome matches reality. After the show airs, the event will be evaluated against publicly available transcripts and media coverage.
News about Mike Johnson’s preparation, leaked excerpts from his speech, or shifts in political narratives leading up to the broadcast could move this market. Interviews, polls, or reactions from other political figures may also influence trader sentiment. Any unexpected changes in the show’s format or guest lineup could cause rapid price adjustments as participants reassess probabilities before Aug 30, 2026.