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What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in June 2026?
polymarket
predict

What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in June 2026?

Volume:
$71,609

↓ $405

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 30, 2026

Closed: Jun 30, 11:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

↓ $405

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$13,544
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

↓ $405

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$1,719
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ $375

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,925
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

↓ $375

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$417
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ $390

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,412
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

↓ $390

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ $360

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,099
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

↓ $360

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$2,549
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ $450

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$445
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

↑ $450

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ $435

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$432
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

↑ $435

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ $420

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$373
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

↑ $420

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ $465

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

↑ $465

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ $345

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,716
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

↓ $345

View
N/A
N/A
—
$3,996
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ $495

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,953
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

↑ $495

View
N/A
N/A
—
$10
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ $480

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,477
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

↑ $480

View
N/A
N/A
—
$4
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ $330

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,222
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

↓ $330

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ $510

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,961
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 28

Description

This event group contains binary prediction markets asking whether Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) stock will reach specific price levels (highs or lows) at any point during June 2026, based on 1-minute candle data from Pyth. The markets span price targets from $315 to $510, covering both upside (HIGH) and downside (LOW) scenarios. Resolution depends on whether the stock touches or crosses these thresholds during regular trading hours (9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) on any trading day in June 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict use identical resolution logic, data sources, and edge case handling for all 17 markets in this group.Primary resolution logic: Pyth Network (1-minute candle data for MSFT/USD) at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD; fallback to official primary exchange (NASDAQ) daily high/low prices if Pyth data is unavailable due to outage or technical failure.

Core resolution logic:

  • HIGH markets resolve YES if any 1-minute candle during June 2026 regular trading hours (9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) has a final High price equal to or above the target price.
  • LOW markets resolve YES if any 1-minute candle during June 2026 regular trading hours (9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) has a final Low price equal to or below the target price.
  • Only prices from regular trading hours on the primary exchange (NASDAQ) qualify; pre-market and after-hours prices are excluded.
  • Prices are used exactly as published by Pyth without rounding.
  • In the event of a stock split, reverse split, or similar corporate action, target prices are adjusted proportionally and resolution is based on split-adjusted prices as displayed by Pyth.
  • If Pyth data is unavailable, the official daily high or low price published by the primary exchange is used to determine whether the target price was reached during that trading session.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Corporate Action (Stock Split): If a stock split or reverse split occurs during June 2026, the target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect the split. Resolution will be based on the split-adjusted price data as shown on Pyth after adjustments have been applied.
  • Pyth Data Unavailability: If Pyth 1-minute candle data is unavailable due to system outage, data failure, or technical disruption, resolution falls back to the official daily high or low price published by the primary exchange (NASDAQ) for the relevant trading session.
  • Pre-Market and After-Hours Trading: Prices occurring outside regular trading hours (9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) are explicitly excluded from resolution consideration, even if they exceed or fall below the target price.
  • Exact Price Match vs. Threshold Crossing: For HIGH markets, the target price must be reached or exceeded (>=). For LOW markets, the target price must be reached or undercut (<=). A 1-minute candle that touches the exact target price satisfies the condition.
  • Timing of Resolution: Resolution occurs after June 2026 ends (on or shortly after June 28, 2026, the last trading day of June). Historical 1-minute candle data can be accessed via Pyth using Unix timestamps appended to the chart URL.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the close of the last trading day of June 2026 (expected June 28, 2026). Markets will resolve based on all 1-minute candle data collected during regular trading hours throughout the entire month of June 2026.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in June 2026?

Predict

What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in June 2026?

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard aggregates real-time odds and trading activity for this MSFT price-target event across Polymarket and Predict. It displays the current consensus probability that Microsoft will reach specific price levels during June 2026, along with cumulative trading volume and 24-hour activity across both platforms. By tracking multiple venues simultaneously, the dashboard reveals how different market participants value the likelihood of each outcome, helping traders identify where conviction is strongest and spot divergences between platforms.

Prediction market odds reflect real-money consensus from traders betting on MSFT's June 2026 price targets, whereas analyst forecasts typically represent institutional equity research estimates. Markets often incorporate forward-looking sentiment and tail-risk pricing that traditional analyst models may lag. The prediction market view can diverge significantly from consensus analyst price targets because traders face direct financial incentives to price in volatility, earnings surprises, and macroeconomic shifts. Comparing the two reveals whether the market is pricing in more optimism or caution than the Street.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences between Polymarket and Predict odds stem from distinct user bases, liquidity pools, and fee structures. Polymarket may attract retail traders with different risk appetites than Predict, leading to varying probability assessments of the same outcome. Liquidity imbalances, regional access restrictions, and platform-specific incentives can also cause temporary price gaps. Additionally, each platform's order-book depth and trading mechanics influence how quickly new information gets reflected in odds, creating windows where arbitrage opportunities exist.

Key catalysts include Microsoft's quarterly earnings reports, cloud and AI revenue growth announcements, competitive developments in enterprise software and generative AI, macroeconomic shifts affecting tech valuations, and broader market corrections. Regulatory actions, major product launches, and strategic partnerships or acquisitions could also drive significant price moves. Geopolitical events, interest-rate changes, and shifts in investor sentiment toward mega-cap tech stocks will influence whether MSFT reaches the predicted price levels by June 2026. Traders monitor these signals continuously to adjust their positions.