TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 10:08 AM EST
Kalshi
The event centers on analyzing whether Sanjay Mehrotra, CEO of Micron, will mention specific topics during a scheduled CNBC Mad Money appearance. Participants will evaluate speech content from the live broadcast to determine outcomes, focusing on exact phrase usage during the official segment.
The event evaluates multiple potential phrases Sanjay Mehrotra might utter during his CNBC Mad Money appearance on August 20, 2026. Each market resolves to Yes if Mehrotra uses the specified exact phrase, or any plural/possessive form of it, during the live broadcast while speaking officially. Video footage serves as the primary evidence, supplemented by transcripts if needed. All markets share common resolution conditions: the event must occur with Mehrotra speaking officially—if canceled or unresolved, the 'Event does not qualify' market wins, nullifying others. Postponements within 14 days keep markets open. Promotional content counts, but advertisements and unaired material do not. Resolution depends solely on the original broadcast content.
Compared to analyst forecasts, this market’s odds reflect a collective trader view that can diverge significantly from traditional equity research. Where analysts offer detailed bull-or-bear assessments, this market condenses the outcome into trading probabilities — for example, the chance that specific themes are mentioned. Short-term news cycles and sentiment shifts often move this market more rapidly than analyst updates, making it a complementary gauge of market expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. After the CNBC Mad Money episode airs, moderators will compare the transcript or reliable summaries against the market’s predefined criteria to determine which outcome matches the Micron CEO’s actual remarks.
Key signals include pre-show interviews, press releases from Micron, and market reactions to recent earnings or product news. Any indication — even indirect — that the CEO might discuss specific topics on Mad Money could shift trader sentiment. Additionally, broader semiconductor industry news, investor sentiment trends, and social media buzz in the days leading up to the broadcast often create volatility in this market.