TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will MercadoLibre say during their next earnings call?
kalshi

What will MercadoLibre say during their next earnings call?

Volume:
$48,079

Digital Bank

 - Kalshi

Digital Bank - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 6, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 9:46 PM EST

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Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Digital Bank

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,389
N/A
N/A
$4,766
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Delivery

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,049
N/A
N/A
$3,006
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,925
N/A
N/A
$2,036
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Headwind

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,913
N/A
N/A
$3,867
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Advertising

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,772
N/A
N/A
$2,549
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Chile

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,432
N/A
N/A
$2,004
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Pharmacy

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,404
N/A
N/A
$2,782
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Payroll Loan

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,053
N/A
N/A
$1,753
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Competition

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,655
N/A
N/A
$1,899
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,223
N/A
N/A
$1,458
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Amazon

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,324
N/A
N/A
$425
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Automated / Automation

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,142
N/A
N/A
$380
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Authentic Brands

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$972
N/A
N/A
$700
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Tailwind

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$827
N/A
N/A
$487
3mo 2d
No
Total markets: 14

Description

During a corporate earnings call, company representatives discuss financial performance and future outlook. Participants may reference specific strategies, partnerships, or market conditions that are relevant to investors and analysts. The content of these discussions can provide insight into the company's priorities and challenges.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on whether any specified phrase appears during MercadoLibre Inc.'s next earnings call, including the Q+A session. Each market corresponds to a unique phrase; if any representative (including the call operator) uses the exact phrase, or a plural/possessive form of it, the associated market resolves to Yes. Video recordings of the call are the primary source for verification, with transcripts used as a fallback if video consensus cannot be reached. Grammatical or tense variations do not count unless they match the exact specified phrasing. All markets share these resolution criteria, with each phrase evaluated independently.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard tracks the current odds and price history for the MercadoLibre earnings call market, along with its 24-hour volume of $29,187. This view shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around what MercadoLibre might announce, offering a real-time snapshot of market expectations and liquidity for this specific event.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced interpretation of market expectations. While analysts may provide detailed guidance based on financial models, this market aggregates trader sentiment in real time. That can lead to differences in implied probabilities, especially around events that are harder to predict. Monitoring both sources together can offer a richer perspective on where expectations diverge or align.

This market resolves around Dec 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch the official earnings call transcript and press releases for exact language that matches the defined market outcomes. The process ensures an objective, transparent resolution based on publicly available information rather than internal assessments.

Pre-earnings reports, analyst days, and media interviews from MercadoLibre executives can shift expectations and move this market. Any surprise guidance, revenue adjustments, or strategic announcements leading up to the call may cause rapid price changes. Additionally, broader economic indicators or market trends affecting e-commerce could also influence trader sentiment as the resolution date approaches.