TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 4, 11:09 AM EST
Kalshi
During its upcoming earnings call, McDonald's executives will discuss financial performance and strategic initiatives. Investors and analysts will listen closely to gauge market sentiment and future plans. Specific phrases spoken during the call may have significant implications for market reactions and stock performance.
The market resolves based on whether any specified phrase is uttered by a McDonald's Corporation representative during the earnings call, including the Q+A session. Each market corresponds to a unique phrase, and the outcome is determined by verifying if that exact phrase—or its plural or possessive form—is used. Video recordings of the call serve as the primary evidence; if consensus cannot be reached from the video, official transcripts from designated news publications will be consulted. Grammatical or tense variations do not count unless they match the exact specified phrasing. All markets share these uniform verification procedures, ensuring consistent resolution criteria across the board.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced interpretation of market expectations. While analysts provide detailed reports based on financial metrics and trends, traders on Kalshi may react faster to news, sentiment shifts, or perceived nuances in McDonald's messaging, potentially creating divergence from consensus analyst views.
This market resolves around Dec 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the earnings call transcript is publicly released and verified against credible reporting sources. The specific statements made by McDonald's during the call will determine which market contracts are settled as correct.