TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 7, 1:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether Senator Mark Warner will mention any of a specific set of policy topics, political figures, or issues during an appearance on Fox News Sunday. The market resolves to Yes if he discusses any of these predetermined keywords, or if he does not appear on the show at all.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this event is priced as a binary or categorical contract reflecting the probability that Mark Warner will make specific statements during his Fox News Sunday appearance. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the price representing the market's collective belief in each outcome's likelihood. As the Fox News Sunday broadcast date approaches and new information emerges about Warner's likely talking points, prices adjust to reflect updated expectations. Final settlement occurs after the broadcast and outcome verification.
The market resolves on Jun 8, 2026, following Mark Warner's appearance on Fox News Sunday. Resolution depends on whether his actual statements during the broadcast match the specific claims outlined in each outcome category. Verification typically occurs shortly after the episode airs, once the full transcript or recording is available for review. The exact resolution criteria are detailed in the market's terms, which specify which statements or topics count toward each outcome.
Market prices for this event will likely shift based on recent news involving Mark Warner, emerging political developments, or statements he makes before the Fox News Sunday broadcast. Changes to the show's focus or confirmed guest list could also influence trader expectations. If Warner comments on breaking news or policy developments in the days leading up to the appearance, traders may adjust odds on what topics he will address on air. Media coverage speculating about his likely remarks could similarly move prices as new information becomes available.