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What will Mark Carney say during his European Parliament address?
kalshi

What will Mark Carney say during his European Parliament address?

Volume:
$82,539

Rare Earth / Mineral

 - Kalshi

Rare Earth / Mineral - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 17, 2026

Closed: Sep 17, 10:55 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Rare Earth / Mineral

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,427
N/A
N/A
$5,079
2d 17h 38m
Yes
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,966
N/A
N/A
$2,411
2d 17h 38m
Yes
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,339
N/A
N/A
$1,941
2d 17h 38m
Yes
kalshi

Arctic

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,058
N/A
N/A
$1,773
2d 17h 38m
Yes
kalshi

Trump

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,063
N/A
N/A
$13,660
2d 17h 38m
No
kalshi

Tariff

View
0%
79%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,529
N/A
N/A
$11,484
2d 17h 38m
No
kalshi

Iran / Iranian

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,250
N/A
N/A
$8,420
2d 17h 38m
No
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

View
0%
69%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,166
N/A
N/A
$5,809
2d 17h 38m
No
kalshi

NATO

View
0%
61%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,681
N/A
N/A
$4,495
2d 17h 38m
No
kalshi

China / Chinese

View
0%
74%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,784
N/A
N/A
$3,785
2d 17h 38m
No
kalshi

Ukraine / Ukrainian

View
0%
92%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,848
N/A
N/A
$2,498
2d 17h 38m
No
kalshi

Russia / Russian

View
0%
63%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,283
N/A
N/A
$2,232
2d 17h 38m
No
kalshi

Nuclear

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,133
N/A
N/A
$2,950
2d 17h 38m
No
kalshi

Event does not qualify

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,011
N/A
N/A
$2,581
2d 17h 38m
No
Total markets: 14

Description

Mark Carney will deliver an address to the European Parliament where his specific word choices will be closely monitored. The focus is on whether he includes certain key terms during his official speech, with verification through live broadcast or official transcripts.

Kalshi

Multiple markets exist depending on whether Mark Carney includes specific phrases during his European Parliament address. Each market has a primary rule that resolves to Yes if Carney utters the exact phrase or its plural/possessive form while speaking officially. The address will be verified using live broadcast video or official transcripts if video consensus cannot be reached. Grammatical variations and inaudible/off-mic comments do not count. If the event is canceled, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes and all others to No. Postponements within 14 days keep markets open. All markets require Carney to speak in an official capacity during the address, excluding archival or unrelated content.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for the Carney EU Parliament address market. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different statements or themes Mark Carney might emphasize during his address. The interface updates continuously, reflecting shifts in market sentiment as new information emerges, with total volume at $82,539 and 24-hour volume at $64,546.

This market resolves around Oct 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. After Mark Carney’s address, analysts and media will parse his remarks for key phrases and themes. The market settles based on whether his statements match the defined outcome categories, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.

Several signals could shift this market before it resolves. Key economic reports, political developments in Europe, or prior speeches by Mark Carney on related topics may influence trader expectations. Media coverage anticipating his address can also create momentum, as can any surprise announcements from central banks or international institutions. As Oct 2, 2026 approaches, every new data point could cause rapid repricing of odds on Kalshi.