TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 11, 7:15 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves monitoring a podcast appearance by Marco Rubio to determine if he utters specific phrases related to political topics, international relations, and economic issues. The outcome depends on whether Rubio's statements during the podcast match any of the predefined keyword categories.
The event centers on whether Marco Rubio utters any of sixteen specified phrases during an appearance on The Katie Miller Podcast. Each phrase category—such as references to political figures, international affairs, economic concepts, or campaign-related terms—has a corresponding market that resolves to Yes if Rubio uses the exact phrase, or a plural/possessive form of it, during the broadcast. Resolution relies primarily on video footage of the podcast; if video review yields no consensus among Kalshi employees, official transcripts are used. The entire original broadcast is considered for evaluation. Markets will resolve to No if Rubio does not use any of the specified phrases, if the event is canceled, or if Rubio fails to speak in an official capacity (e.g., private off-mic comments). If the podcast is postponed and rescheduled within 14 calendar days, markets remain open. An "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes only if no qualifying phrases are spoken or if the event cannot be resolved due to cancellation or other impediments, automatically setting all other markets to No.
This market resolves around Aug 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once Rubio’s statements are verifiable from credible public reporting of the podcast episode. The exact wording and context from the recording will determine which market outcome matches reality, closing the market based on what was actually said during the discussion.
News about Rubio’s preparation topics, excerpts released ahead of the podcast, and polling shifts could all influence this market. Interviews where Rubio previews his remarks, changes in political narratives, or media hype surrounding likely discussion points may cause traders to adjust odds before the episode airs and the market settles.