TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 12:38 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves monitoring a political discussion for specific keyword mentions by a public figure during a televised interview. Resolution depends on whether certain exact phrases appear in the official broadcast, with strict criteria for what content qualifies.
The event resolves based on whether Marco Rubio utters specified exact phrases during the Fox News: My View with Lara Trump interview. Each market corresponds to a unique phrase or condition (e.g., "2028 / Campaign", "Tariff", "Trump (3+ times)"). The primary resolution method uses video of the live broadcast; if inconclusive, official transcripts serve as backup. Only content within the original broadcast counts—ads and external material are excluded. If Rubio speaks unofficially (e.g., off-mic comments), markets do not qualify. Postponements within 14 days keep markets open. If the event is canceled, the "Event does not qualify" market wins, nullifying others. All phrases must appear in exact form, with plural/possessive variations permitted but grammatical changes excluded.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once Rubio’s Fox News interview is publicly available and verifiable from credible news sources. The specific wording and context of his statements will be analyzed to match the defined market outcomes. Timing depends on when the full transcript or reliable summaries are reported after the live event.
Key signals include pre-interview commentary from Rubio or his spokesperson, polling data released shortly before the event, and any major news narratives surrounding the topics he might address. Additionally, reactions from political analysts immediately following the broadcast can shift trader sentiment. Volume spikes are common when high-profile figures comment on expected themes or when media outlets preview possible discussion points.