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What will Mamdani’s NYC favorability be in Siena’s next poll?
kalshi

What will Mamdani’s NYC favorability be in Siena’s next poll?

Volume:
$2,018

At least 64%

 - Kalshi

At least 64% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 13, 2026

Closed: Aug 13, 10:01 AM EST

kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 64%

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,029
N/A
N/A
$1,029
6mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

At least 66%

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$401
N/A
N/A
$399
6mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

At least 56%

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
6mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

At least 62%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
6mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

At least 60%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$163
N/A
N/A
$158
6mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

At least 58%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
$16
6mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

At least 52%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
6mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

At least 54%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$0
N/A
N/A
$0
6mo 3d
Yes
Total markets: 8

Description

This event tracks public sentiment toward Zohran Mamdani in New York City as measured by an upcoming Siena University survey. The outcome depends on whether the poll shows a favorable opinion exceeding specific thresholds. It reflects shifts in local public perception around a defined political figure.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the first Siena University poll released after July 28, 2026, measuring New York City residents' favorable opinion of Zohran Mamdani. Multiple outcome thresholds are defined, each corresponding to a different percentage level of favorability. If the poll result meets or exceeds any of these thresholds—ranging from 52% to 66%—the respective market resolves to Yes. The structure creates a tiered resolution system where higher favorability percentages satisfy multiple lower thresholds, ensuring that the most favorable outcome captures all applicable conditions. No other factors or polls influence the resolution.