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2,632

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Politics
What will Mamdani say during next live announcement?
⌛Ending Soon
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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement?

Volume:
$11,475

AI / Artificial Intelligence

 - Polymarket

AI / Artificial Intelligence - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 14, 2026

Closed: Sep 14, 1:51 PM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
24.8¢
N/A
$2,458
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 5h 14m
Yes
polymarket

Economy / Economic

100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
90.8¢
N/A
$2,231
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 5h 14m
Yes
polymarket

Family

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.8¢
N/A
$833
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 5h 14m
Yes
polymarket

Health

100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
82¢
N/A
$773
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 5h 14m
Yes
polymarket

School

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$693
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 5h 14m
Yes
polymarket

Trump / President

100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$559
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 5h 14m
Yes
polymarket

NYPD

100%
80%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$504
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 5h 14m
Yes
polymarket

Community

100%
97%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
89.9¢
N/A
$236
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 5h 14m
Yes
polymarket

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.8¢
N/A
$174
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 5h 14m
Yes
polymarket

Safe / Safer / Safety

100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$48
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 5h 14m
Yes
polymarket

Grocery

0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
22.3¢
N/A
$749
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 5h 14m
No
polymarket

Billionaire

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
39¢
N/A
$747
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 5h 14m
No
polymarket

Budget

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
48.8¢
N/A
$515
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 5h 14m
No
polymarket

-No Qualifying Event-

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$501
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 5h 14m
No
polymarket

Heat / Weather

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$454
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 5h 14m
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani says the listed term during his next livestream on the NYC Mayor's Office official YouTube Channel. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no such announcement happens by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". If Mamdani officially ceases to be New York City mayor for any length of time by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers to the first livestream where Zohran Mamdani speaks after market creation from the NYC Mayor's Office (https://www.youtube.com/@NYCMayorsOffice). Any livestream posted to that channel where Zohran Mamdani speaks will qualify. Any livestream posted to that channel where Zohran Mamdani does not speak will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant announcement. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani says the listed term during his next livestream on the NYC Mayor's Office official YouTube Channel. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no such announcement happens by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". If Mamdani officially ceases to be New York City mayor for any length of time by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers to the first livestream where Zohran Mamdani speaks after market creation from the NYC Mayor's Office (https://www.youtube.com/@NYCMayorsOffice). Any livestream posted to that channel where Zohran Mamdani speaks will qualify. Any livestream posted to that channel where Zohran Mamdani does not speak will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant announcement. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Mamdani announcement market allows traders to predict what specific statements or phrases will be made during the next public announcement by the politician. Currently, the most actively traded outcome on Polymarket focuses on whether Mamdani will use the terms “Afford,” “Affordable,” or “Affordability” during the announcement, with a current implied probability of 100%. The dashboard displays the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume for this event, giving insight into market sentiment.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of different outcomes. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises accordingly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is driven entirely by supply and demand, meaning that shifts in sentiment or new information can quickly impact the odds. The current volume is $9,202.

Several signals could significantly move this market before Sep 30, 2026. Any pre-announcement statements or leaks regarding the content of Mamdani’s speech would be a major catalyst. Changes in political context, such as new economic data or policy debates, could also influence expectations about the messaging. Unexpected events or crises could force a shift in priorities and alter the planned announcement. Finally, media coverage and analyst commentary focusing on the likely themes of the announcement could also impact trader sentiment and, consequently, the market prices.