TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 26, 10:51 AM EST
Kalshi
During his upcoming announcement, Zohran Mamdani may address various topics relevant to New York City's governance and public concerns. The focus will be on whether he mentions specific keywords or phrases that reflect key issues or priorities for the city's future.
All markets resolve based on whether Zohran Mamdani utters specified exact phrases during his first official livestreamed NYC Mayor's Office announcement after August 25, 2026, at 02:45 PM. The livestream must be conducted on the NYC Mayor's Office main YouTube channel (@NYCMayorsOffice) and be open to press coverage. Resolution relies primarily on video analysis, with official transcripts used as a secondary source if video consensus cannot be achieved among Kalshi employees. Only statements made in an official capacity during the live broadcast count; private or off-mic comments, archival footage, or pre-recorded segments do not qualify. Additional agency streams may supplement resolution if technical issues arise or the original stream ends prematurely. Each market corresponds to a distinct keyword or phrase, and resolution depends solely on whether that specific term (including its plural or possessive forms) is spoken during the qualifying announcement.
Compared to analyst forecasts, this market’s odds reflect the collective judgment of Kalshi traders, who may weigh factors beyond traditional analysis, such as sentiment and emerging clues. While analysts offer detailed opinions, the market price captures a broader, more dynamic consensus that can diverge based on real-time information and trader behavior.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch for official statements and reputable news sources that clearly indicate whether the specific wording or concept was expressed during the announcement.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves on Sep 16, 2026. Key factors include early leaks or previews of the announcement content, analyst commentary interpreting expectations, and any related policy updates that suggest a change in tone or direction. Media coverage building up to the event can also influence trader sentiment. As the announcement date approaches, any definitive statements from involved parties or affiliated organizations may cause rapid price movements. Volume often spikes in the days leading to Sep 16, 2026 as traders react to new information.