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24H VOL:

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24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will Mamdani say during his announcement?
kalshi

What will Mamdani say during his announcement?

Volume:
$39,148

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

 - Kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 13, 2026

Closed: Aug 13, 10:40 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,226
N/A
N/A
$4,446
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Safe / Safer / Safety

100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,496
N/A
N/A
$5,207
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump / President

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,676
N/A
N/A
$4,585
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Governor / Hochul

100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,253
N/A
N/A
$2,750
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Five Borough

100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,035
N/A
N/A
$1,816
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Grocery

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,211
N/A
N/A
$1,182
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Economy / Economic

100%
94%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$950
N/A
N/A
$913
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Deport / Deported / Deportation

0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,004
N/A
N/A
$1,823
Settled
No
kalshi

Supreme Court

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,801
N/A
N/A
$1,751
Settled
No
kalshi

Childcare

0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,710
N/A
N/A
$1,499
Settled
No
kalshi

Billionaire

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,563
N/A
N/A
$1,557
Settled
No
kalshi

Heat / Weather

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,160
N/A
N/A
$1,070
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,068
N/A
N/A
$1,068
Settled
No
kalshi

Sanctuary

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$692
N/A
N/A
$683
Settled
No
kalshi

NYPD

0%
63%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$667
N/A
N/A
$519
Settled
No
kalshi

Free Bus / Fast & Free

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$635
N/A
N/A
$585
Settled
No
Total markets: 16

Description

This event tracks whether Zohran Mamdani will mention specific topics during his upcoming official announcement as NYC Mayor. The focus is on identifying key phrases related to policy areas and public concerns that he might address in his speech.

Kalshi

The event centers on Zohran Mamdani's first official livestream announcement after August 12, 2026, 10:45 AM, on the NYC Mayor's Office main YouTube channel. Resolution depends on whether he utters specified exact phrases in an official capacity during this live, press-accessible broadcast. Video footage serves as the primary evidence, with official transcripts used as a backup if needed. Only statements made during the designated livestream count; prior recordings or unrelated conversations are excluded. The market resolves to Yes if any of the listed phrases—covering topics like AI, economic policy, public safety, transportation, and more—are spoken verbatim, including plural or possessive forms, during the announcement. Each market operates independently, with its own specific phrase requirements.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Sep 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the announcement is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch for exact wording and context during the event to determine which market outcome matches what Mamdani actually says.