TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
What will Mamdani say during his announcement?
kalshi

What will Mamdani say during his announcement?

Volume:
$70,228

Childcare

 - Kalshi

Childcare - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 4, 2026

Closed: Aug 4, 10:35 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Childcare

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,142
N/A
N/A
$5,522
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Five Borough

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,850
N/A
N/A
$4,994
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Governor / Hochul

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,912
N/A
N/A
$3,332
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,755
N/A
N/A
$2,098
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump / President

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,255
N/A
N/A
$3,848
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Budget / Deficit

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,074
N/A
N/A
$19,636
Settled
No
kalshi

Economy / Economic

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,356
N/A
N/A
$8,279
Settled
No
kalshi

Billionaire

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,375
N/A
N/A
$4,986
Settled
No
kalshi

Grocery

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,002
N/A
N/A
$2,297
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,285
N/A
N/A
$2,257
Settled
No
kalshi

Socialism / Socialist

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,547
N/A
N/A
$1,532
Settled
No
kalshi

NYPD

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,348
N/A
N/A
$1,261
Settled
No
kalshi

Communist / Communism

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$944
N/A
N/A
$815
Settled
No
kalshi

Jew / Jewish

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$383
N/A
N/A
$345
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

The event tracks whether Zohran Mamdani will mention specific topics during his first official livestream announcement as NYC Mayor after August 3, 2026. The focus is on identifying particular keywords or phrases spoken by Mamdani in an official capacity during the broadcast.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether Zohran Mamdani utters the exact specified phrase or word—either in its base form, plural, or possessive—during his first official livestream announcement on the NYC Mayor's Office YouTube channel after August 03, 2026, at 07:00 PM. The announcement must be a live, press-accessible event; pre-recorded or archived content does not qualify. Resolution primarily uses video footage from the livestream, with official transcripts serving as a backup if video consensus cannot be reached among Kalshi employees. Only statements made by Mamdani in an official capacity during the livestream count; unofficial or off-mic remarks are excluded. If technical issues occur, alternative agency streams may supplement the primary source. Each market corresponds to a distinct keyword or phrase, and all share the same procedural framework for verification and resolution.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Aug 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will look to authoritative news sources, official transcripts, and verified statements to determine which outcome matches what was actually said during the announcement.