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What will Mamdani say during his announcement?
kalshi

What will Mamdani say during his announcement?

Volume:
$87,575

Five Borough

 - Kalshi

Five Borough - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 3, 2026

Closed: Aug 3, 1:46 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Five Borough

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,577
N/A
N/A
$16,913
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,997
N/A
N/A
$13,919
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump / President

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,896
N/A
N/A
$7,091
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Budget / Deficit

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,081
N/A
N/A
$3,582
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Grocery

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,658
N/A
N/A
$3,318
Settled
Yes
kalshi

NYPD

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,599
N/A
N/A
$3,194
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Billionaire

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,630
N/A
N/A
$7,412
Settled
No
kalshi

Economy / Economic

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,797
N/A
N/A
$4,392
Settled
No
kalshi

Childcare

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,778
N/A
N/A
$3,468
Settled
No
kalshi

Jew / Jewish

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,718
N/A
N/A
$3,367
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,356
N/A
N/A
$3,118
Settled
No
kalshi

Communist / Communism

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,209
N/A
N/A
$3,037
Settled
No
kalshi

Socialism / Socialist

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,280
N/A
N/A
$1,993
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

The event tracks whether Zohran Mamdani includes specific keywords during his first official livestream announcement after a set date. The announcement must be a live, press-accessible event on the NYC Mayor's Office YouTube channel, with resolution based on his exact word usage during the broadcast.

Kalshi

All markets share a common framework: resolution depends on whether Zohran Mamdani utters the exact specified keyword—or its plural/possessive form—during his first official NYC Mayor's Office livestream after July 29, 2026, at 02:00 PM. The livestream must be the main YouTube channel broadcast (@NYCMayorsOffice), open to the press, and feature Mamdani speaking in an official capacity. Resolution primarily uses video footage; if inconclusive, official transcripts serve as tiebreakers. Only live declarations during the announcement qualify—archival footage, prior recordings, or off-mic remarks are excluded. Each market’s ‘Yes’ outcome triggers payout if the keyword appears; ‘No’ resolves if absent. Technical failures allow use of alternate agency streams, but only if the primary stream ends prematurely. All markets adhere strictly to these unified criteria for validity and verification.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Mamdani announcement market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movements for this prediction market. You can see the current top outcome probability, historical price trends, and 24-hour volume of $56,063. The interface updates continuously to reflect trader sentiment and market dynamics as the event date approaches.

This market resolves around Aug 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. After the announcement, the platform will compare the exact wording against market outcomes using publicly available transcripts or official records. The result is final once these sources are validated.

Several signals could shift this market before Aug 19, 2026. Direct statements from Mamdani or close advisors about speech content or tone would immediately reshape trader expectations. Media previews, leaked agendas, or commentary from affiliated organizations might also influence odds. Broader context — like public sentiment trends or related policy developments — can affect how participants price likely phrases or topics. Any surprise additions or omissions in the final announcement are especially potent catalysts for rapid market movement.