TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 11:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Zohran Mamdani will participate in an official NYC Mayor's Office announcement that is livestreamed and open to the press. The event will be monitored to determine whether he mentions any of several specific topics or phrases during his remarks in an official capacity.
This event tracks whether Zohran Mamdani mentions any of twelve specified terms or phrases during the first livestreamed NYC Mayor's Office announcement on the @NYCMayorsOffice YouTube channel after July 21st, 2026 at 6:00pm ET. The tracked terms are: AI/Artificial Intelligence, Trump/President, Economy/Economic, Afford/Affordable/Affordability, Budget/Deficit, Socialism/Socialist, Billionaire, Five Borough, Iran/Iranian, World Cup, NYPD, and Childcare. Resolution is based on video of the live broadcast, with official transcripts used as a secondary source if consensus cannot be reached. The exact phrase or word must be used, including plural or possessive forms, though grammatical and tense inflections are not required. Zohran Mamdani must speak in an official capacity for the event to qualify; private conversations, inaudible remarks, or unofficial statements do not count. The event must be open to the press and conducted as a live televised or streamed event. Previously recorded content, archival footage, or recordings from separate times or locations are excluded from consideration.
News coverage, expert commentary, and official statements preceding the event could shift expectations and move this market. Any indication of likely phrasing or emphasis from verified sources may cause rapid price adjustments. As Aug 12, 2026 approaches, trader sentiment will react to emerging hints, potentially widening or narrowing the spread before final settlement.