TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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What will Mamdani say during his press conference?
kalshi

What will Mamdani say during his announcement?

Volume:
$16,596

Benjamin / Netanyahu

 - Kalshi

Benjamin / Netanyahu - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 22, 2026

Closed: Jul 22, 11:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Benjamin / Netanyahu

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,995
N/A
N/A
$2,604
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Five Borough

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,124
N/A
N/A
$2,097
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump / President

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,898
N/A
N/A
$1,891
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Economy / Economic

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,789
N/A
N/A
$1,641
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,496
N/A
N/A
$1,475
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Budget / Deficit

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,235
N/A
N/A
$1,113
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Billionaire

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,774
N/A
N/A
$1,182
Settled
No
kalshi

NYPD

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,285
N/A
N/A
$1,203
Settled
No
kalshi

Socialism / Socialist

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$911
N/A
N/A
$665
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$333
N/A
N/A
$328
Settled
No
kalshi

Iran / Iranian

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$286
N/A
N/A
$281
Settled
No
kalshi

Childcare

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$269
N/A
N/A
$265
Settled
No
kalshi

World Cup

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$194
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

Zohran Mamdani will participate in an official NYC Mayor's Office announcement that is livestreamed and open to the press. The event will be monitored to determine whether he mentions any of several specific topics or phrases during his remarks in an official capacity.

Kalshi

This event tracks whether Zohran Mamdani mentions any of twelve specified terms or phrases during the first livestreamed NYC Mayor's Office announcement on the @NYCMayorsOffice YouTube channel after July 21st, 2026 at 6:00pm ET. The tracked terms are: AI/Artificial Intelligence, Trump/President, Economy/Economic, Afford/Affordable/Affordability, Budget/Deficit, Socialism/Socialist, Billionaire, Five Borough, Iran/Iranian, World Cup, NYPD, and Childcare. Resolution is based on video of the live broadcast, with official transcripts used as a secondary source if consensus cannot be reached. The exact phrase or word must be used, including plural or possessive forms, though grammatical and tense inflections are not required. Zohran Mamdani must speak in an official capacity for the event to qualify; private conversations, inaudible remarks, or unofficial statements do not count. The event must be open to the press and conducted as a live televised or streamed event. Previously recorded content, archival footage, or recordings from separate times or locations are excluded from consideration.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the announcement is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch the official speech or press release for exact wording, as the market settles based on whether specific phrases or concepts are articulated during the event.

News coverage, expert commentary, and official statements preceding the event could shift expectations and move this market. Any indication of likely phrasing or emphasis from verified sources may cause rapid price adjustments. As Aug 12, 2026 approaches, trader sentiment will react to emerging hints, potentially widening or narrowing the spread before final settlement.