TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
What will Mamdani say during his announcement?
kalshi

What will Mamdani say during his announcement?

Volume:
$114,565

Grocery

 - Kalshi

Grocery - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 12, 2026

Closed: Jun 12, 3:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Grocery

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$28,980
N/A
N/A
$20,174
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Knicks / Mets / Yankees

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,235
N/A
N/A
$12,431
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Five Borough

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,973
N/A
N/A
$10,669
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,882
N/A
N/A
$8,713
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump / President

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,322
N/A
N/A
$6,465
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Crisis

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,344
N/A
N/A
$7,110
Settled
No
kalshi

Budget / Deficit

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,512
N/A
N/A
$7,500
Settled
No
kalshi

Economy / Economic

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,100
N/A
N/A
$7,100
Settled
No
kalshi

NYPD

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,058
N/A
N/A
$1,040
Settled
No
kalshi

Albany

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$581
N/A
N/A
$425
Settled
No
kalshi

MSG / Garden

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$530
N/A
N/A
$509
Settled
No
kalshi

Billionaire

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$507
N/A
N/A
$506
Settled
No
kalshi

Muslim / Islam

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$285
N/A
N/A
$284
Settled
No
kalshi

New Era

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$256
N/A
N/A
$256
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

These markets track whether Zohran Mamdani mentions specific words or phrases during his next official announcement from the NYC Mayor's Office. Resolution depends on video and transcript evidence of him speaking in an official capacity at a press-open livestreamed event on the NYC Mayor's Office YouTube channel after June 11, 2026.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on Zohran Mamdani's spoken remarks during the first livestreamed NYC Mayor's Office announcement on the @NYCMayorsOffice YouTube channel after June 11, 2026 at 4:00 pm ET, where he speaks in an official capacity. The event must be press-open and televised or streamed. Video evidence is the primary resolution source; official transcripts serve as secondary verification if video consensus cannot be reached. Remarks must occur during the featured address itself—previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings from separate times or locations do not qualify. Zohran Mamdani's mere presence without official remarks (such as inaudible private conversations or unofficial hot-mic statements) does not qualify the event. Alternative agency streams may be used if the NYC Mayor's Office stream experiences technical outages or ends prematurely. For each phrase or word tracked, the exact term or its plural or possessive forms must be used; grammatical and tense inflections are otherwise not required. Plural nouns within proper nouns and noun phrases are included in this requirement.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Mamdani announcement prediction market on Kalshi displays real-time odds and historical price movements tied to what will be said during the announcement. Traders can monitor the current probability distribution across all possible outcomes, review 24-hour volume activity, and track how market sentiment has shifted over time. This live data helps participants understand which statements or topics the crowd expects to hear, offering a dynamic snapshot of collective forecasting as the event approaches.

Prediction market odds reflect real-money incentives for accuracy, which often diverge from traditional analyst commentary. While analysts may publish point forecasts or qualitative assessments, this market aggregates the beliefs of traders who have financial skin in the game. The odds here tend to update faster and incorporate a broader range of information sources than any single expert opinion. Comparing the two can reveal where professional consensus and market-implied probabilities align or diverge on what the announcement will contain.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome's price reflects the cumulative demand and supply from participants, with the bid-ask spread indicating the level of uncertainty or disagreement among traders. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, prices adjust in real time, allowing participants to enter or exit positions at market rates.

This market resolves around Jun 19, 2026, once the announcement has occurred and its content can be verified. The outcome is determined by comparing what Mamdani actually says against the predefined resolution criteria established for each possible statement or topic. Verification will be confirmed through credible public reporting and official sources, ensuring that the resolution reflects what was genuinely communicated during the event.

Market prices may shift based on pre-announcement commentary from Mamdani or his representatives, media speculation about the announcement's focus, or broader contextual developments that hint at what will be discussed. Unexpected news or statements from related figures could also influence trader expectations. As the announcement date draws closer, any leaked information or official previews would likely trigger significant repricing. Traders monitor these signals continuously to adjust their positions ahead of the actual event.