TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will Macy's say during their next earnings call?
⌛Ending Soon
kalshi

What will Macy's say during their next earnings call?

Volume:
$46,941

China

 - Kalshi

China - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 3, 2026

Closed: Jun 3, 2:10 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

China

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,381
N/A
N/A
$4,052
12h 54m
Yes
kalshi

Backstage

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,198
N/A
N/A
$3,624
12h 54m
Yes
kalshi

Dividend

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,872
N/A
N/A
$3,011
12h 54m
Yes
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,184
N/A
N/A
$3,055
12h 54m
Yes
kalshi

Headwind

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,100
N/A
N/A
$2,162
12h 54m
Yes
kalshi

Automation

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,499
N/A
N/A
$1,972
12h 54m
Yes
kalshi

Fragrance

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,258
N/A
N/A
$2,004
12h 54m
Yes
kalshi

Tariff

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,976
N/A
N/A
$1,836
12h 54m
Yes
kalshi

Holiday

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,973
N/A
N/A
$1,612
12h 54m
Yes
kalshi

Marketplace

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,505
N/A
N/A
$1,200
12h 54m
Yes
kalshi

Hospitality

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,416
N/A
N/A
$11,836
12h 54m
No
kalshi

Tailwind

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,580
N/A
N/A
$5,392
12h 54m
No
Total markets: 12

Intro

This market on Kalshi tracks whether the word "artificial intelligence" or "AI" will be mentioned by any Macy's representative during the company's next earnings call, including the question-and-answer session. The leading outcome currently stands at 96.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official earnings call transcript as provided by Macy's, Inc. Watch for mentions of AI or automation initiatives during the earnings presentation scheduled by September 30, 2026.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi offer a real-time, crowd-sourced alternative to traditional analyst forecasts. While equity analysts publish periodic reports on Macy's strategy and guidance, prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of active traders who have financial incentive to forecast accurately. The market's current odds reflect live consensus rather than static research notes. Comparing the two reveals whether traders expect Macy's earnings messaging to align with or diverge from analyst expectations, providing a dynamic gauge of sentiment shifts as the earnings call approaches.

This market resolves on Sep 30, 2026, coinciding with or shortly after Macy's next scheduled earnings call. The outcome is determined by whether the specified statement or topic is actually mentioned during the live earnings call, as verified through official transcripts or recordings. Traders should monitor Macy's investor relations calendar for the exact call date and time, as well as any changes to the schedule. Resolution hinges on factual verification of what management says, making the earnings call itself the definitive source for determining the market outcome.

Several catalysts could shift odds before the earnings call. Retail sales data, comparable-store sales trends, and inventory levels may prompt management to adjust their messaging. Competitive announcements from other department stores or e-commerce players could influence Macy's strategic commentary. Macroeconomic shifts—consumer spending, inflation, interest rates—often shape retailer guidance. Activist investor activity or board changes may alter management tone. Quarterly performance surprises or supply chain developments could prompt unexpected emphasis on certain topics. Each of these signals may cause traders to reassess the probability of specific statements being made, driving price movement in the market.