TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 10:52 AM EST
Kalshi
During a podcast appearance, Lisa Su, the CEO of a major technology company, will discuss various topics related to her field. The discussion may touch on partnerships, technological advancements, and industry trends, reflecting her insights and the company's strategic direction.
The event will resolve based on whether Lisa Su utters specific exact phrases during the TBPN Podcast while speaking in an official capacity. Each market corresponds to a unique phrase or set of phrases; if Lisa Su says the specified phrase during the live broadcast or stream, that market resolves to Yes. The live broadcast or stream is the primary source for resolution, with promotional content counted but advertisements excluded. If the event is canceled, postponed beyond 14 calendar days, or fails to meet the payout criteria, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, and all others resolve to No. Postponements announced within one calendar day to reschedule within 14 days keep markets open. Resolution relies on official video or, if needed, consensus from internal and external transcripts.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced interpretation of probabilities. While analysts may provide detailed written assessments based on research models, traders on Kalshi continuously adjust their positions based on new information, sentiment, and expectations, which can result in faster shifts and sometimes different implied probabilities.
This market resolves around Aug 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, it will be determined by reviewing the publicly released podcast transcript or authoritative summaries, to see which statements align with the defined market outcomes. No further interpretation beyond publicly available records is applied.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution: early leaks or previews of podcast content, commentary from AMD or tech media about anticipated topics, broader industry news affecting Lisa Su’s focus areas, and trader reactions to any related earnings reports or product announcements. Each new piece of public information may cause traders on Kalshi to reassess probabilities and adjust positions.