TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 8, 7:42 PM EST
Kalshi
Levi Strauss & Co. will hold an earnings call on July 8, 2026, where company representatives will discuss financial performance and business operations. This market tracks whether specific words or phrases are mentioned during the call's prepared remarks or question-and-answer session.
The market resolves to Yes if any Levi Strauss & Co. representative, including the call operator, mentions any of the following terms during the July 8, 2026 earnings call (including Q&A): Tariff, Beyond Yoga, China, AI/Artificial Intelligence, Beyoncé, Inflation, Nike, Dockers, Barbour, World Cup, Zalando, Jordan, or Disney. Resolution will be determined primarily through video of the earnings call; if video consensus cannot be reached by Kalshi employees, transcripts from news publications listed in the contract will be used. The exact phrase or word must be used, including plural or possessive forms, though grammatical and tense inflections are otherwise not required. A single mention of any term triggers a Yes resolution.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they reflect real-money incentives and crowd wisdom rather than individual expert opinion. Traders in this market are financially motivated to price outcomes accurately, which can lead to faster incorporation of new data and less bias than consensus estimates. While analysts publish periodic reports on Levi's guidance and performance, prediction markets update continuously as participants trade. Comparing the two reveals whether the crowd expects outcomes more or less likely than Wall Street consensus, making this market a useful cross-check on conventional wisdom.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share reflects the probability of a specific statement being mentioned during the earnings call, with prices ranging from near zero to near one dollar. Traders profit by correctly predicting what will be said, and the bid-ask spread tightens as more volume flows in. The platform's matching engine ensures transparent price discovery and allows participants to enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes.
This market resolves around Dec 31, 2026, after Levi's has completed their next earnings call. The outcome is determined by verifying whether specific statements or topics were actually mentioned during the presentation, confirmed against credible public sources such as official transcripts, audio recordings, or verified news reports. Once the call concludes and the relevant information is available, the market settles based on what was genuinely said, ensuring all traders are held to the same factual standard.
Several catalysts could shift odds before the earnings call. Quarterly financial results, guidance revisions, or major company announcements may signal what management will emphasize on the call. Industry trends, competitive pressures, and macroeconomic conditions affecting retail apparel also influence trader expectations. Media coverage and analyst notes can shift sentiment about likely discussion topics. Additionally, any pre-call commentary from executives or investor relations teams may hint at agenda priorities. As the call date approaches, traders adjust positions based on these signals, causing price movements that reflect evolving conviction about what will actually be discussed.