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What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?
polymarket

What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

Volume:
$177,751

Chair

 - Polymarket

Chair - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 18, 2026

Closed: Jun 17, 11:59 PM EST

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Result
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Chair

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.3¢
N/A
$4,030
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
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FED

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,413
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
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Artificial Intelligence / AI

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,849
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
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Balance Sheet

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,462
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
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Rate / Cut

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.3¢
N/A
$2,278
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
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Trend

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.3¢
N/A
$2,246
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
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Maximum Employment

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100%
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0.4¢
N/A
$2,023
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
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Stable / Stability

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100%
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0.1¢
N/A
$1,838
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Yes
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Money

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100%
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0.5¢
N/A
$1,617
N/A
N/A
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Settled
Yes
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Dual Mandate

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.3¢
N/A
$1,212
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
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Open-Minded

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100%
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0.4¢
N/A
$1,084
N/A
N/A
N/A
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Yes
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Trump

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0%
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0.1¢
N/A
$73,682
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N/A
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No
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Good Afternoon

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0%
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—
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$29,181
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No
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I Don't Know

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0%
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—
N/A
$6,988
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N/A
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No
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Crypto / Bitcoin

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,886
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
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Jerome / Powell

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,971
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
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Job Market

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
87.6¢
N/A
$4,676
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
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Asymmetric

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0%
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—
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$3,934
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
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Goods Inflation

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0%
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—
N/A
$3,269
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
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Depression / Recession

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0%
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—
N/A
$3,084
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
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Groupthink / Group Think

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0%
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—
N/A
$2,349
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
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Downside

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0%
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—
N/A
$1,989
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
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Inflation 40+ times

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,693
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
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All-Time High / All-Time Low

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,649
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
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Inflation 60+ times

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,537
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 31

Description

Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

Polymarket

Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money bets from traders with financial incentives to forecast accurately, whereas traditional polling captures stated preferences from survey respondents. For this event, market participants are pricing expectations about Warsh's statements based on his recent public positions, economic conditions, and Fed policy signals. Prediction markets typically incorporate forward-looking information faster than polls, since traders respond immediately to new developments. Comparing the two approaches reveals whether markets are pricing in outcomes that conventional surveys may not yet reflect.

The market resolves on Jun 18, 2026, shortly after the scheduled June press conference concludes. Resolution is determined by what Kevin Warsh actually says during the official press conference event. The outcome will be assessed based on his public remarks, policy signals, and statements made during the scheduled appearance. Traders should monitor the official announcement and timing to ensure they understand the exact scope of remarks that will be evaluated for resolution purposes.

Key catalysts include recent economic data releases, Fed policy decisions, inflation trends, and labor market reports that may influence Warsh's messaging. His prior public statements and speeches often signal his likely positions on monetary policy and financial stability. Market expectations around interest rates and recession risks will shape trader positioning. Additionally, any major geopolitical or financial market shocks before June could prompt Warsh to address unexpected developments. Traders should track Fed communications, economic indicators, and Warsh's recent commentary to anticipate shifts in market odds.