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What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?
polymarket

What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?

Volume:
$133,856

2008 / Financial Crisis

 - Polymarket

2008 / Financial Crisis - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 29, 2026

Closed: Aug 28, 12:05 PM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

2008 / Financial Crisis

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,101
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CapEx / Capital Expenditure

View
100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,016
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Challenge

View
100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,317
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Productivity

View
100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$5,415
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$4,428
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Good Morning

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$4,054
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Bank / Asset 10+ times

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
9¢
N/A
$3,782
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Regime

View
100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
9¢
N/A
$2,017
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,615
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Gold

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,710
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Integrity

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,430
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Good Day

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,428
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Task Force 5+ times

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,917
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Prediction / Predictive

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,619
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Framework

View
0%
72%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,252
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Trump

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,752
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Independent / Independence

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0%
66%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.9¢
N/A
$4,263
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Too Late

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.9¢
N/A
$2,665
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Payment System

View
0%
56%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.9¢
N/A
$2,112
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

-No Qualifying Event-

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,915
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Stable 5+ times

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,599
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ingenuity

View
0%
84%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$914
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Community

View
0%
56%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$536
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 23

Description

Kevin Warsh is scheduled to deliver a speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on August 28, 2026, 10 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Polymarket

Kevin Warsh is scheduled to deliver a speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on August 28, 2026, 10 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Kevin Warsh Jackson Hole speech market dashboard shows real-time odds and price history for this prediction, alongside 24-hour volume of $45,794. It tracks how traders on Polymarket price the likelihood of various statements or outcomes from Warsh’s address, giving you a live snapshot of market sentiment and activity for the Kevin Warsh Jackson Hole speech market.

Compared to traditional polling averages, this market often reflects sharper, more immediate trader sentiment, especially on niche or forward-looking questions like Warsh’s speech content. While polls may lag or struggle with specialized economic language, this market can price in rapid updates from analyst commentary, media reports, and trading activity on Polymarket, often showing a different emphasis or probability weight.

This market resolves around Aug 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech is delivered and verified against credible public sources, such as official transcripts, reputable news coverage, or verified recordings. The specific wording or themes from the address will determine which market contract settles as the correct description of what Warsh said.

Market movement may be driven by preview articles, quoted excerpts from Warsh or his staff, reactions from major economists or policymakers, and any last-minute changes to the speech draft. Polymarket traders will also watch for shifts in financial market sentiment, bond yields, or central bank signaling that could influence expectations about Warsh’s tone or emphasis during the address.