TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
$
This event tracks whether Kevin Hassett will mention any of several specific topics or terms during an appearance on Fox News Sunday. The topics of interest include economic indicators and policies (stock market, inflation, affordability, oil/gas), geopolitical issues (China, Hormuz, ceasefire), technology (AI), political figures (Trump, Warsh), or if the appearance doesn't occur at all.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money bets from traders and often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts or media commentary. While analysts may rely on historical patterns or expert judgment, prediction markets incorporate dynamic pricing based on live information and trader conviction. For this event, comparing market-implied probabilities to published analyst expectations or media predictions can reveal where the crowd sees higher or lower likelihood than conventional forecasters, highlighting areas of disagreement or emerging consensus.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, each potential statement or topic outcome is priced as a separate contract, with odds reflecting the probability traders assign to that outcome occurring. Prices range from near-zero to near-100, with higher prices indicating greater market confidence. As the Fox News Sunday appearance approaches and new context emerges, prices adjust in real time based on order flow and trader positioning, allowing you to track shifting expectations about Hassett's likely remarks.
This market resolves on Jun 1, 2026, after Kevin Hassett's appearance on Fox News Sunday. Resolution is determined by whether his actual statements or remarks during the broadcast match the specific outcome criteria defined for each contract. The exact resolution hinges on careful review of the broadcast content and verification that Hassett's words align with the outcome description, ensuring accurate settlement of all positions.
Several catalysts could shift market odds before the broadcast. Official announcements about the interview topic or focus area may change expectations about what Hassett will discuss. Recent policy developments, economic data, or political events could influence the likely direction of his remarks. Media previews or statements from Fox News about the segment's theme may also move prices. Additionally, any public comments Hassett makes before the show, or breaking news in his policy domain, could alter trader positioning on what he will say on air.