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What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
polymarket

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Volume:
$18,783

Ukraine

 - Polymarket

Ukraine - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 10, 2026

Closed: Jun 10, 11:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Ukraine

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
$2,718
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NHS

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
$2,421
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mr. Speaker 10+ times

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,477
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mr. Speaker 30+ times

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$912
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Reform

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
$891
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Defense

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
$746
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mr. Speaker 20+ times

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$589
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Victim

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$587
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Investment

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
$569
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Police

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
$534
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Poverty

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
50¢
N/A
$371
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

European Union

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,735
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Trump

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,481
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Urgent

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$564
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Muslim

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$452
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

United States

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$425
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Public Health

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$415
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Constituent / Constituency

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$400
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

King / Queen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$354
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sport

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$280
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Public School

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$256
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kid

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$243
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Apologize

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$191
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Transportation / Transport

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$172
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 24

Description

Keir Starmer is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Keir Starmer titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/keir-starmer/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket differ from traditional polling because they reflect real-money bets rather than survey responses. While polls measure public opinion snapshots, prediction markets incentivize traders to forecast actual outcomes. For this event, market participants are pricing in expectations based on parliamentary dynamics, Starmer's recent statements, and opposition strategy. Comparing market odds to analyst commentary on likely PMQs topics can reveal whether traders are pricing in consensus expectations or contrarian views about the Prime Minister's focus areas.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. Each outcome has an implied probability reflected in its current price. As traders adjust positions based on news, parliamentary schedules, and political developments, prices shift to reflect changing expectations about Starmer's statements at PMQs. The market aggregates dispersed information from participants who believe they can predict what topics or phrases the Prime Minister will emphasize during the session.

This market resolves on Jun 11, 2026. Resolution depends on the specific outcomes defined for this event—typically based on documented statements Keir Starmer makes during the next Prime Minister's Questions session. The exact determination criteria are tied to the outcome categories listed on Polymarket, which may reference parliamentary records, official transcripts, or verified media coverage of the PMQs event. Traders should review the full outcome definitions on the platform before trading to understand what evidence will be used to settle each category.

Several factors could shift market odds before resolution. Major political developments—such as economic data releases, international crises, or opposition attacks—may influence which topics Starmer prioritizes at PMQs. Recent parliamentary debates, government policy announcements, and media narratives about pressing issues will shape trader expectations. Scheduling changes or postponements of the PMQs session itself could also impact the market. Additionally, statements from opposition leaders or government allies may signal which themes Starmer will address, causing traders to adjust their positions accordingly.