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What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
polymarket

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Volume:
$76,219

NHS

 - Polymarket

NHS - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 3, 2026

Closed: Jun 4, 11:59 PM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

NHS

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,639
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Apologize

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$983
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mr. Speaker 20+ times

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$941
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sport

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$902
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Constituent / Constituency

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$730
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Poverty

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$681
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Urgent

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$543
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mr. Speaker 10+ times

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$536
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

King / Queen

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$535
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Reform

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$460
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Public Health

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$450
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Investment

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$418
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Police

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$309
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Defense

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,254
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

European Union

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,337
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Trump

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,293
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ukraine

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,269
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

United States

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,262
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Victim

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,361
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mr. Speaker 30+ times

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,393
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kid

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,341
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Muslim

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,208
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Public School

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$203
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Transportation / Transport

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$170
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 24

Description

Keir Starmer is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Keir Starmer titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/keir-starmer/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and historical price data for the What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? market on Polymarket. It displays the current probability of the top outcome, 24-hour volume in $75,217, and price movement over time. Users can monitor how traders are positioning on specific statements Starmer may make during the next PMQs session, including recurring phrases like "Mr. Speaker." The dashboard updates continuously as new trades execute, providing transparency into market sentiment and liquidity conditions for this political prediction event.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader expectations about Starmer's language and rhetoric at the next PMQs, which differ from traditional polling. Polls typically measure voter sentiment or approval, whereas this market prices specific verbal behaviors. Traders incorporate real-time information about parliamentary schedules, recent PMQs transcripts, and Starmer's communication patterns. Market odds tend to adjust faster than polling as new information emerges, making them a forward-looking gauge of what insiders and political observers expect Starmer to say during the session.

The market resolves on Jun 5, 2026. Resolution depends on verification of Starmer's exact statements during the next Prime Minister's Questions session. Outcome determination will be based on an official record or transcript of the event, counting specific phrases or speech patterns as defined by the market terms. The resolution process ensures accuracy by cross-referencing parliamentary records and official hansard documentation. Traders should monitor the confirmed PMQs date and any schedule changes that might affect when the event occurs and when the market settles.

Key catalysts include recent Prime Minister's Questions sessions, which establish baseline patterns for Starmer's language and phrase frequency. Changes to parliamentary scheduling or unexpected political crises could alter the tone or length of the next PMQs, affecting statement counts. Media coverage of Starmer's communication style and any public speeches may shift trader expectations. Internal Labour Party messaging or strategic shifts in opposition tactics could influence his rhetoric. Closer to the event date, confirmation of the exact PMQs timing and any advance parliamentary announcements will likely drive final price adjustments as traders refine their forecasts.