TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 21, 11:15 PM EST
Kalshi
Katie Hobbs is scheduled to appear on The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell, a nightly news and opinion program. These markets track whether she uses specific words or phrases during her on-air remarks in an official capacity.
Resolution is based on Katie Hobbs speaking in an official capacity during the live broadcast or stream of The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell. Mere presence on camera is insufficient; she must actively speak in an official capacity for the event to qualify. Inaudible private conversations or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic do not count. Each market resolves Yes if Katie Hobbs uses the exact phrase or word specified (or plural/possessive forms thereof), with grammatical and tense inflections otherwise not required. Plural nouns within proper nouns and noun phrases are included. Only content from the original live broadcast or stream counts; additional content, advertisements, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings from separate times or places are excluded. Promotional content aired during the event counts. Video of the broadcast is the primary resolution source; official transcripts are used if video consensus cannot be reached. If the event is cancelled or fails to qualify, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves Yes and all other markets resolve No. If postponed and rescheduled within 14 calendar days with announcement by the end of the following calendar day, markets remain open.
This market resolves around Aug 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources covering the interview. Traders will look to transcripts, reputable news coverage, and official recordings to determine whether specific statement criteria have been met.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves around Aug 5, 2026. Key events include major polls, media interviews, and public reactions to any recent policy announcements. Unexpected developments — such as a high-profile endorsement or controversy — may also reshape expectations about Katie Hobbs’s tone and focus. Traders will watch for any direct commentary from her team, as well as broader political trends influencing public discourse. The outcome hinges on how these dynamics affect betting sentiment in the coming weeks.