TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 8:11 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks specific phrases that Katie Hobbs might mention during a televised broadcast. Resolution depends on whether she utters any of the predefined keywords during her official remarks within the live stream, with strict criteria for what counts as a valid mention.
The event resolves based on whether Katie Hobbs, during her official speaking engagement on MS NOW: The Weeknight, utters any of the specified phrases listed across the markets. Each market corresponds to a unique phrase or set of phrases (e.g., "Trump," "Afford," "Republican"). If the exact phrase, or its plural/possessive form, is spoken during the live broadcast or included promotional content, the respective market resolves to Yes. The resolution relies primarily on video footage; if inconclusive, official transcripts are used. The event requires Hobbs to be speaking in an official capacity—presence alone or off-mic comments do not qualify. If the event is canceled or fails to meet resolution criteria, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, and all others to No. Postponements announced within a day and rescheduled within 14 days keep markets open.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders manually set prices through buying and selling contracts, creating a market-driven probability for each possible outcome. The current top outcome reflects collective trader assessment of what Katie Hobbs is likely to say, adjusted for recent news and public sentiment. Volume of $23,773 shows overall interest, while price fluctuations respond to new developments or shifts in betting momentum.
This market resolves around Aug 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch for any official transcripts, news coverage, or verified statements that clearly indicate whether the specific phrasing or position occurs.
This market could shift based on preview interviews, news releases, or public statements from Katie Hobbs before the show. Media coverage of related political topics, audience polls, or even guest announcements for the program may also influence trader sentiment. Any indication of topic focus — through social media hints or press briefings — can cause rapid price changes as participants reassess the likelihood of specific statements being made.