TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Tour
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What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing?
kalshi

What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing?

Volume:
$1,015,821

Hormuz

 - Kalshi

Hormuz - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 27, 2026

Closed: May 7, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hormuz

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$33,664
N/A
N/A
$19,460
Settled
Yes
kalshi

King

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$26,299
N/A
N/A
$24,265
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hero / Heroic / Heroism

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23,711
N/A
N/A
$19,743
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ballroom

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23,349
N/A
N/A
$17,461
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Shutdown / Shut Down

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,500
N/A
N/A
$10,253
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Radical Left

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$77,615
N/A
N/A
$60,737
Settled
No
kalshi

Iran (5+ times)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75,567
N/A
N/A
$64,440
Settled
No
kalshi

Pregnant / Pregnancy

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$72,608
N/A
N/A
$70,225
Settled
No
kalshi

Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$71,799
N/A
N/A
$56,732
Settled
No
kalshi

Stupid Question

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59,156
N/A
N/A
$53,107
Settled
No
kalshi

ICE / NICE

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55,929
N/A
N/A
$52,520
Settled
No
kalshi

Blockade

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,030
N/A
N/A
$26,823
Settled
No
kalshi

Ceasefire

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,419
N/A
N/A
$28,401
Settled
No
kalshi

Butler

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,636
N/A
N/A
$31,666
Settled
No
kalshi

Fake News

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,249
N/A
N/A
$24,490
Settled
No
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,987
N/A
N/A
$30,135
Settled
No
kalshi

Biden

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,011
N/A
N/A
$20,897
Settled
No
kalshi

NATO

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,148
N/A
N/A
$20,446
Settled
No
kalshi

Oil

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,755
N/A
N/A
$19,004
Settled
No
kalshi

Pakistan

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,223
N/A
N/A
$16,225
Settled
No
kalshi

Terrorist / Terrorism

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,769
N/A
N/A
$17,862
Settled
No
kalshi

Stock Market

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,834
N/A
N/A
$15,346
Settled
No
kalshi

Israel / Israeli

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,791
N/A
N/A
$14,978
Settled
No
kalshi

Gas / Gasoline

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,988
N/A
N/A
$14,014
Settled
No
kalshi

American Dream

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,675
N/A
N/A
$16,097
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 35

Description

This event predicts whether the White House Press Secretary will use any of a specific set of politically charged or policy-focused terms during the next official press briefing. The market monitors the linguistic patterns and rhetoric of White House communications on topics ranging from foreign policy to economic issues to domestic politics.