TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing?
kalshi

What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing?

Volume:
$1,262,576

Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation

 - Kalshi

Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 16, 2026

Closed: May 1, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$48,059
N/A
N/A
$33,713
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ceasefire

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$32,938
N/A
N/A
$21,605
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Biden

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$28,086
N/A
N/A
$18,214
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Blockade

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$26,323
N/A
N/A
$16,743
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Gas / Gasoline

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22,713
N/A
N/A
$14,296
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tariff

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,597
N/A
N/A
$11,938
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Affordable / Affordability

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,215
N/A
N/A
$9,644
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Vegas / Nevada

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,216
N/A
N/A
$7,882
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fraud

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,115
N/A
N/A
$6,249
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Big Beautiful Bill

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$153,220
N/A
N/A
$143,321
Settled
No
kalshi

Hormuz

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$147,840
N/A
N/A
$112,214
Settled
No
kalshi

American Dream

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$129,567
N/A
N/A
$126,206
Settled
No
kalshi

Iran (5+ times)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100,913
N/A
N/A
$55,736
Settled
No
kalshi

Oil

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$81,373
N/A
N/A
$74,126
Settled
No
kalshi

China

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53,723
N/A
N/A
$42,593
Settled
No
kalshi

Israel / Israeli

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46,951
N/A
N/A
$43,242
Settled
No
kalshi

Stupid Question

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,954
N/A
N/A
$32,357
Settled
No
kalshi

Pakistan

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,766
N/A
N/A
$22,085
Settled
No
kalshi

Pope

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,063
N/A
N/A
$15,750
Settled
No
kalshi

Border

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,191
N/A
N/A
$24,324
Settled
No
kalshi

Epic Fury

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,867
N/A
N/A
$15,635
Settled
No
kalshi

Cuba

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,359
N/A
N/A
$12,755
Settled
No
kalshi

Radical Left

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,000
N/A
N/A
$18,490
Settled
No
kalshi

Stock Market

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,958
N/A
N/A
$14,040
Settled
No
kalshi

Illegal Alien

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,698
N/A
N/A
$14,954
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 36

Description

This market tracks whether specific geopolitical, economic, and political terms will be mentioned during the next White House Press Briefing by the Press Secretary. The event captures language patterns and topic priorities in official White House communications by monitoring for mentions of countries, policy issues, economic indicators, and characteristic phrases.