TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 12, 10:10 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks whether Jon Ossoff will mention specific keywords during a television interview. It focuses on his verbal statements in an official capacity, with resolution based on broadcast content and transcripts.
The event resolves based on whether Jon Ossoff utters any of the specified phrases during the MS NOW: The Briefing with Jen Psaki interview. Each market corresponds to a unique keyword or phrase (e.g., Trump, Election, Republican). To resolve a market as 'Yes,' Ossoff must use the exact phrase, or a plural/possessive form, during the live broadcast in an official capacity. Inaudible conversations, private remarks, or content from outside the broadcast do not count. Resolution primarily uses video footage; if inconclusive, official transcripts serve as the tiebreaker. If the event is canceled or Ossoff does not speak officially, all markets resolve 'No,' except the 'Event does not qualify' market, which resolves 'Yes.' Postponements within 14 days keep markets open.
Compared to analyst forecasts, this market’s odds reflect aggregated trader expectations rather than individual expert predictions. While analysts may offer qualitative assessments or polling data, the market price incorporates real-time betting behavior, potentially highlighting different risks or probabilities. Traders might weigh in on nuances not fully captured by traditional forecasts, creating a dynamic alternative view of what Jon Ossoff might say.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set prices through buying and selling contracts that correspond to possible statements. The current implied probability reflects the collective judgment of participants about which outcomes are most likely. Market depth and liquidity influence how prices adjust, especially as new information emerges ahead of the event.
This market resolves around Aug 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. After the briefing, statements made by Jon Ossoff will be reviewed against the defined options, and the market will settle based on what was actually said during the broadcast.
News about Jon Ossoff’s preparation topics, agenda leaks, or pre-briefing commentary could shift this market. Major political developments, shifts in media focus, or even guest announcements for the briefing may also influence trader sentiment. As the event draws closer, any indication of likely discussion themes will likely cause price adjustments among participants.