TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 17, 10:10 PM EST
Kalshi
During a live television interview, a public figure will speak on various topics. Specific markets will determine whether certain key phrases or terms are mentioned during the broadcast, focusing on the content of the official speech.
The event involves multiple markets, each centered on whether Jon Ossoff utters specific phrases during a scheduled broadcast. Resolution relies primarily on video footage from the live broadcast, supplemented by official transcripts if needed. All markets require Ossoff to speak in an official capacity; mere presence or off-mic comments do not qualify. If the event is canceled or fails to meet criteria, the 'Event does not qualify' market resolves to Yes, and all others to No. Postponements within 14 days keep markets open. Each market has distinct payout criteria based on exact phrase usage, with promotional content counted but advertisements excluded. Resolution depends strictly on content within the original broadcast timeframe.
Compared to analyst forecasts, odds from this market often reflect a more nuanced view of expected rhetoric, incorporating real-time sentiment and trading activity. While analysts may offer broad projections, traders in this market react quickly to new polling data, media coverage, and historical speech patterns, potentially creating divergence from traditional forecasts.
This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The exact statement made by Jon Ossoff during his MS NOW interview will be compared against market outcomes, closing all positions based on that verified content.
Several signals could affect this market before Sep 1, 2026. Major developments like pre-interview leaks, polling updates, or reactions from political opponents may shift expectations about Jon Ossoff’s tone or key phrases. Media framing of the interview and real-time social media buzz during the broadcast can also drive rapid price changes. Any surprise guest questions or breaking news on the day will be closely watched by traders adjusting positions as the outcome comes into focus.