TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will Jill Biden say during MS NOW: Morning Joe?
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What will Jill Biden say during MS NOW: Morning Joe?

Volume:
$198,926

Democrat / Democratic

 - Kalshi

Democrat / Democratic - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 2, 2026

Closed: Jun 2, 12:30 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Democrat / Democratic

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,926
N/A
N/A
$3,881
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,630
N/A
N/A
$4,401
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kamala / Harris

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,485
N/A
N/A
$4,699
Settled
Yes
kalshi

2028 / Campaign

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,621
N/A
N/A
$3,995
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$72,821
N/A
N/A
$72,458
Settled
No
kalshi

Republican

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$38,214
N/A
N/A
$37,358
Settled
No
kalshi

Ballroom

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,564
N/A
N/A
$35,293
Settled
No
kalshi

Stroke

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,970
N/A
N/A
$10,867
Settled
No
kalshi

Autopen

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,903
N/A
N/A
$7,873
Settled
No
kalshi

Newsom

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,093
N/A
N/A
$4,090
Settled
No
kalshi

Event does not qualify

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,360
N/A
N/A
$2,143
Settled
No
kalshi

Golf / Golfer / Golfing

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,293
N/A
N/A
$2,263
Settled
No
kalshi

Melania

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,046
N/A
N/A
$1,024
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This event tracks whether Jill Biden will mention any of a specific set of words or phrases during an appearance on the MSNBC show "Morning Joe." The market resolves affirmatively if she discusses topics related to politics, other political figures, or personal matters, and resolves to "Yes" by default if the appearance does not occur at all.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for this event, which asks what statement or topic Jill Biden will mention during her appearance on MSNBC's Morning Joe program. You can monitor the current probability of the top outcome, review 24-hour trading volume at $198,459, and observe how market sentiment evolves as the broadcast date approaches. This live data helps traders and observers gauge crowd expectations about the First Lady's remarks on the show.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader conviction and can differ meaningfully from traditional analyst or media commentary. While political analysts and news outlets may speculate about likely topics or talking points for Jill Biden's appearance, the market price incorporates aggregated bets from many participants with financial stakes. Comparing the current market probability to expert predictions or polling data can reveal whether traders are more or less confident than conventional forecasters about what the First Lady will emphasize during the interview.

On Kalshi, this event is priced as a binary or categorical contract reflecting what Jill Biden will say during her Morning Joe appearance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares corresponding to different possible statements or topics, with the price of each outcome representing the collective probability assigned by the market. As new information emerges—such as advance reporting on the interview's focus or shifts in political news—prices adjust to reflect updated expectations about which remarks are most likely to occur.

The market resolves on Jun 3, 2026, after Jill Biden's appearance on MSNBC's Morning Joe has aired. Resolution is determined by what the First Lady actually says during the broadcast, with the outcome assessed against the specific criteria defined for this event. Traders should monitor the show and any official statements or summaries to understand which outcome has occurred and how the market will settle.

Several factors could shift market odds before the broadcast. Advance reporting or promotional clips from MSNBC about the interview's topic could signal what Jill Biden plans to discuss. Breaking political news, policy announcements, or developments in the White House agenda may influence expectations about her remarks. Social media hints, statements from her office, or commentary from Morning Joe hosts could also telegraph likely discussion points. Additionally, broader political events or crises occurring just before the air date might prompt the First Lady to address unexpected topics, causing traders to reassess probabilities.