TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 12:20 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks specific phrases that Jeanine Pirro might mention during her Fox News broadcast. It focuses on whether certain keywords related to political, legal, or societal topics appear in her speech, providing insight into the themes she addresses during the show.
The event evaluates whether Jeanine Pirro utters any of several specified phrases during the live broadcast of Fox News: Saturday in America. Each market corresponds to a unique phrase or term (e.g., "Trump," "Fraud," "Bitcoin"), and the market resolves to Yes if Pirro says the exact phrase in an official capacity during the broadcast. Resolution relies primarily on live video footage; if video consensus cannot be reached, official transcripts are used. Certain conditions invalidate payouts, such as grammatical variations, unaired content, or private off-mic remarks. If the broadcast is canceled, the “Event does not qualify” market resolves to Yes, and all others to No. Postponements within 14 days keep markets open. The outcome depends solely on the presence of the exact phrase during the designated broadcast.
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market demonstrates a different perspective than traditional political analysis or punditry. While analysts may focus on pre-scripted talking points, the market reflects what traders believe Jeanine Pirro is *likely* to say, incorporating a broader range of potential influences and unexpected events. This dynamic can lead to divergences, where the probability assigned by this market differs significantly from those offered by conventional sources. It’s a fascinating way to gauge the wisdom of the crowd versus individual expertise.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential statements or topics, and the price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to create a dynamic and efficient forecast. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the cost to acquire one unit of exposure to that outcome; a higher price indicates a higher perceived probability. This mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, following the airing of the Saturday in America show. The outcome will be determined by a review of the show’s transcript and video recording to verify whether the predicted statement or topic was mentioned by Jeanine Pirro. The resolution will be confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will then pay out to contract holders based on whether their predicted outcome occurred, providing a clear and objective result based on the actual content of the broadcast.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news related to potential topics Jeanine Pirro might address – breaking political developments, legal cases, or current events – could influence trading activity. Her past commentary and known stances on various issues will also play a role, as traders assess the likelihood of her revisiting those themes. Unexpected guest appearances or pre-show promotional materials could also provide clues and shift the odds. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of what she might say has the potential to impact this market.