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What will JD Vance say during his remarks in Maine?
kalshi

What will JD Vance say during his remarks in Maine?

Volume:
$275,009

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Resolved Aug 24, 2026

Closed: Aug 24, 1:01 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
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Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
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Biden

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100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,320
N/A
N/A
$13,539
Settled
Yes
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Small Business

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100%
48%
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100¢
N/A
$13,541
N/A
N/A
$7,995
Settled
Yes
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Steel

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100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,931
N/A
N/A
$11,242
Settled
Yes
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America First

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100%
86%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,518
N/A
N/A
$9,536
Settled
Yes
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Healthcare

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100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,152
N/A
N/A
$4,883
Settled
Yes
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Illegal Alien

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100%
43%
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100¢
N/A
$9,759
N/A
N/A
$8,174
Settled
Yes
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Economy / Economic

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40%
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100¢
N/A
$9,506
N/A
N/A
$7,017
Settled
Yes
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Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime

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100%
46%
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100¢
N/A
$9,345
N/A
N/A
$8,059
Settled
Yes
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Democrat

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100%
4%
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100¢
N/A
$8,455
N/A
N/A
$8,281
Settled
Yes
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Fraud

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100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,275
N/A
N/A
$7,327
Settled
Yes
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China / Chinese

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100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,211
N/A
N/A
$4,455
Settled
Yes
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Manufacturing

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,046
N/A
N/A
$5,929
Settled
Yes
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Tariff

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100%
28%
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100¢
N/A
$6,061
N/A
N/A
$3,286
Settled
Yes
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Afford / Affordable / Affordability

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,830
N/A
N/A
$3,933
Settled
Yes
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Trump (3+ times)

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100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,110
N/A
N/A
$3,563
Settled
Yes
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Border

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100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,020
N/A
N/A
$3,688
Settled
Yes
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Investment / Invested

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100%
20%
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100¢
N/A
$2,661
N/A
N/A
$2,265
Settled
Yes
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Iran / Iranian

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0%
35%
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100¢
N/A
$20,559
N/A
N/A
$13,032
Settled
No
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Made in America / American Made

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0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,650
N/A
N/A
$12,416
Settled
No
kalshi

Event does not qualify

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,283
N/A
N/A
$16,283
Settled
No
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Lobster

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0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,644
N/A
N/A
$9,865
Settled
No
kalshi

Working Class / Middle Class

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,013
N/A
N/A
$10,844
Settled
No
kalshi

Graham / Platner

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0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,441
N/A
N/A
$7,312
Settled
No
kalshi

Election

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,914
N/A
N/A
$7,801
Settled
No
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Oil / Gas / Gasoline

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0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,588
N/A
N/A
$5,708
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 28

Description

The event involves monitoring a public speech by a political figure at a manufacturing facility to determine if specific policy-related or thematic terms are mentioned. Outcomes depend solely on the verbal content of the speech, verified through live broadcasts or official transcripts.

Kalshi

Multiple markets resolve based on whether JD Vance includes specific exact phrases or words—whether singular, plural, or possessive forms—during his remarks at a Maine manufacturing facility. Verification uses live video broadcasts or, if needed, internal and external official transcripts. Markets exclude grammatical variations, unaired conversations, archival footage, or unrelated recordings. If the event is canceled, the “Event does not qualify” market wins, and all others lose. Postponements within 14 days keep markets open. Each market’s outcome hinges exclusively on the presence or absence of its designated term in the officially delivered speech.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the JD Vance Maine remarks market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $247,695. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of various outcomes based on expected statements from JD Vance during his remarks in Maine. The interface updates continuously to reflect market activity and sentiment around this specific political event.

Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced interpretation of evolving political sentiment. Analysts may publish detailed assessments of likely talking points and tone, while traders on Kalshi adjust prices based on recent polling trends, media coverage, and perceived momentum. The difference can highlight where public betting activity diverges from expert opinion, offering a complementary view of expectations for JD Vance’s remarks.

This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. After JD Vance delivers his remarks in Maine, analysts and platform verifiers will compare the content against the defined outcome categories. The result is finalized when authoritative news sources and official transcripts consistently support one resolution, closing the market based on observable facts.

Several signals could shift odds in this market before resolution: major polls released ahead of the speech, unexpected endorsements or controversies involving JD Vance, and pre-event interviews where he previews key themes. Media coverage building up to the remarks may also influence trader sentiment. Any significant change in polling, campaign strategy announcements, or public reaction to prior events can cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi as traders reassess likely outcomes.