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What will JD Vance say during Fox News: The Will Cain Show?
kalshi

What will JD Vance say during Fox News: The Will Cain Show?

Volume:
$128,714

Socialist / Socialism

 - Kalshi

Socialist / Socialism - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 13, 2026

Closed: Aug 13, 5:32 PM EST

kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Socialist / Socialism

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,175
N/A
N/A
$6,934
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nuclear

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,129
N/A
N/A
$5,712
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fraud

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,928
N/A
N/A
$5,177
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hormuz

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,253
N/A
N/A
$4,141
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iran

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,107
N/A
N/A
$3,013
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,787
N/A
N/A
$3,491
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,726
N/A
N/A
$3,249
Settled
Yes
kalshi

China / Chinese

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,750
N/A
N/A
$2,333
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump (3+ times)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,693
N/A
N/A
$10,407
Settled
No
kalshi

2028 / Campaign

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,871
N/A
N/A
$12,391
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,957
N/A
N/A
$10,853
Settled
No
kalshi

Illegal Alien

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,946
N/A
N/A
$6,076
Settled
No
kalshi

Israel / Israeli

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,341
N/A
N/A
$6,043
Settled
No
kalshi

Radical Left

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,093
N/A
N/A
$5,665
Settled
No
kalshi

Event does not qualify

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,802
N/A
N/A
$4,802
Settled
No
kalshi

Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,924
N/A
N/A
$3,566
Settled
No
kalshi

Election

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,846
N/A
N/A
$3,481
Settled
No
kalshi

Ceasefire

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,367
N/A
N/A
$3,070
Settled
No
kalshi

Save Act / Save America Act

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,909
N/A
N/A
$2,626
Settled
No
kalshi

Air Force One

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,843
N/A
N/A
$2,821
Settled
No
kalshi

America First

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,757
N/A
N/A
$2,567
Settled
No
kalshi

American Dream

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,485
N/A
N/A
$2,000
Settled
No
kalshi

Deport / Deported / Deportation

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,364
N/A
N/A
$2,138
Settled
No
kalshi

Terrorist / Terrorism

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,663
N/A
N/A
$1,558
Settled
No
Total markets: 24

Description

This event tracks whether JD Vance will mention specific keywords or phrases during a Fox News interview on The Will Cain Show. The outcome depends on his exact wording during the broadcast, with resolution based on video or official transcripts.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on whether JD Vance utters any of the specified phrases during the live broadcast of Fox News: The Will Cain Show, with resolution relying primarily on video footage and, if necessary, official transcripts. All markets share common conditions: the event must feature Vance speaking in an official capacity—not merely present but actively speaking—and any definitive cancellation or failure to meet payout criteria triggers a 'No' outcome for all markets except the 'Event does not qualify' market, which resolves to 'Yes'. If postponed and rescheduled within 14 days, markets remain open. Promotional content during the show counts toward resolution, but advertisements and externally sourced material do not. Each market has a unique primary rule checking for the presence of a specific phrase (e.g., "Trump", "Save Act", "America First"), with yes outcomes contingent on exact matches to the listed terms, including plural or possessive forms, during Vance’s official remarks.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the JD Vance Fox News quotes market dashboard tracks real-time odds, price fluctuations, and 24-hour volume of $128,648. This visualization helps you monitor trader sentiment and liquidity trends as the event approaches, showing how the market evaluates potential statements from JD Vance during the Fox News interview.

Compared to analyst forecasts, this market often reflects a more immediate, crowd-sourced interpretation of likely quotes. Analysts may weigh long-term political implications, while traders on Kalshi focus on the probability of specific phrasing appearing in the broadcast. Differences between the two can signal emerging sentiment or unexpected emphasis that polling models might miss.

This market resolves around Aug 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. Transcripts, reputable news coverage, and official recordings will be used to determine whether specific quotes match the winning market contract. Timing depends on when the show airs and verification is completed.

Market movement may be triggered by preview interviews, policy leaks, social media commentary from JD Vance, or shifting political narratives in the days leading up to the broadcast. Any indication of prepared remarks, topic focus, or tone adjustments could reshape trader expectations and shift odds on Kalshi before the show concludes.