TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 8:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether JD Vance will mention specific keywords during a televised interview. The outcome depends on whether his spoken words during the broadcast match any of the predefined terms, verified through official video or transcript sources.
The event resolves based on whether JD Vance utters any of the specified phrases during the live broadcast of Fox News: The Ingraham Angle. Each market corresponds to a distinct keyword or phrase (e.g., "Trump", "Socialist", "Supreme Court"). The exact word, its plural, or possessive form must appear verbatim; grammatical variations do not count. Resolution relies primarily on video footage from the broadcast, with official transcripts used as a secondary source if needed. Only content within the original broadcast qualifies—ads, promotional segments, and externally recorded material are excluded. If the event is canceled or Vance does not speak in an official capacity (e.g., private on-camera remarks), all markets resolve as "No" except the "Event does not qualify" market, which resolves as "Yes". Postponements within 14 days keep markets open.
This market resolves around Aug 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. After the Fox News interview airs, analysts and journalists will transcribe and report JD Vance’s key statements. The market settles based on whether those statements match the defined outcomes, using widely accepted media records as the reference point.
Market movement will likely hinge on media previews, poll releases, and any pre-interview statements from JD Vance or the Ingraham team. Breaking news about topic focus — such as emerging political controversies or agenda shifts — could shift trader sentiment. As the broadcast approaches, real-time betting will react to early transcripts, social media buzz, and post-show analyst breakdowns, potentially creating sharp price swings.