TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will JD Vance say during Fox News: The Ingraham Angle?
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What will JD Vance say during Fox News: The Ingraham Angle?

Volume:
$173,878

Fraud

 - Kalshi

Fraud - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 6, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 8:15 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fraud

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,789
N/A
N/A
$9,269
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Israel / Israeli

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,499
N/A
N/A
$6,423
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Socialist / Socialism

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,178
N/A
N/A
$6,185
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Illegal Alien

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,991
N/A
N/A
$6,121
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iran

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,215
N/A
N/A
$3,881
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,906
N/A
N/A
$5,215
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Somali / Somalia / Somalian

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,970
N/A
N/A
$4,197
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,844
N/A
N/A
$4,106
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$29,181
N/A
N/A
$27,427
Settled
No
kalshi

Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,231
N/A
N/A
$16,132
Settled
No
kalshi

Hormuz

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,370
N/A
N/A
$14,318
Settled
No
kalshi

Biden

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,414
N/A
N/A
$10,432
Settled
No
kalshi

2028 / Campaign

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,758
N/A
N/A
$9,714
Settled
No
kalshi

Election

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,306
N/A
N/A
$6,998
Settled
No
kalshi

Supreme Court

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,026
N/A
N/A
$7,430
Settled
No
kalshi

California

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,969
N/A
N/A
$4,860
Settled
No
kalshi

SNAP / Food Stamp

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,570
N/A
N/A
$4,348
Settled
No
kalshi

Event does not qualify

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,661
N/A
N/A
$2,658
Settled
No
Total markets: 18

Description

This event tracks whether JD Vance will mention specific keywords during a televised interview. The outcome depends on whether his spoken words during the broadcast match any of the predefined terms, verified through official video or transcript sources.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on whether JD Vance utters any of the specified phrases during the live broadcast of Fox News: The Ingraham Angle. Each market corresponds to a distinct keyword or phrase (e.g., "Trump", "Socialist", "Supreme Court"). The exact word, its plural, or possessive form must appear verbatim; grammatical variations do not count. Resolution relies primarily on video footage from the broadcast, with official transcripts used as a secondary source if needed. Only content within the original broadcast qualifies—ads, promotional segments, and externally recorded material are excluded. If the event is canceled or Vance does not speak in an official capacity (e.g., private on-camera remarks), all markets resolve as "No" except the "Event does not qualify" market, which resolves as "Yes". Postponements within 14 days keep markets open.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the JD Vance Ingraham Angle quotes market on Kalshi tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $173,327. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different statements or quotes from JD Vance during the Fox News appearance. The interface updates continuously to reflect market activity and gives you a snapshot of investor sentiment as the event approaches.

This market resolves around Aug 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. After the Fox News interview airs, analysts and journalists will transcribe and report JD Vance’s key statements. The market settles based on whether those statements match the defined outcomes, using widely accepted media records as the reference point.

Market movement will likely hinge on media previews, poll releases, and any pre-interview statements from JD Vance or the Ingraham team. Breaking news about topic focus — such as emerging political controversies or agenda shifts — could shift trader sentiment. As the broadcast approaches, real-time betting will react to early transcripts, social media buzz, and post-show analyst breakdowns, potentially creating sharp price swings.