TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 14, 11:37 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether JD Vance will say certain predetermined words or phrases during an appearance on CBS Sunday Morning. The market resolves to Yes if any of the specified keywords or topics are mentioned during the interview, or if the qualifying event does not occur at all.
This event comprises multiple markets tracking specific words and phrases JD Vance may say during CBS Sunday Morning. Resolution is based on video of the live broadcast or stream, with official transcripts used if consensus cannot be reached. The exact phrase or its plural or possessive form must be used; grammatical and tense inflections beyond plurals and possessives are not included. Only the live broadcast or stream counts; additional content, advertisements, and archival footage do not. JD Vance must speak in an official capacity for the event to qualify. If the event is cancelled or fails to qualify, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes and all other markets resolve to No. If postponed and rescheduled within 14 calendar days, markets remain open. Promotional content aired during the event counts, but advertisements do not.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this event is priced through a binary or multi-outcome contract structure where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to different statements or topics JD Vance may address. The price of each outcome contract reflects the market's probability estimate, ranging from near zero to near 100 cents per share. Traders profit by correctly predicting which outcome occurs, and prices adjust in real time based on order flow and new information. The most heavily traded outcomes typically command higher prices, signaling stronger market conviction about their likelihood.
The market resolves on Jun 15, 2026. Resolution is determined by what JD Vance actually says during his CBS Sunday Morning appearance. The specific statements, topics, or phrases covered in each outcome option will be evaluated against the broadcast to establish which outcome occurred. Traders should monitor the CBS Sunday Morning schedule and any official announcements to confirm timing. Once the event concludes and the broadcast airs, the outcome will be verified and the market will settle accordingly, with winnings distributed to holders of the correct outcome shares.
Several factors could shift odds before resolution. Breaking news or political developments involving JD Vance may increase the likelihood of certain statements or topics. Pre-broadcast interviews, social media activity, or official statements from his office could hint at interview themes. Market participants may also react to CBS editorial focus or recent national events likely to be discussed. Closer to the air date, any leaked interview clips or promotional materials could influence trader expectations. Finally, real-time reactions during the broadcast itself will drive final price movements as traders update their positions based on what actually unfolds.