TOTAL VOLUME:

$146.6b

24H VOL:

$161,047,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,781,800,361

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,744,915,607

504,917

Markets across

37,612

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,946

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
What will Jay Parikh say during GitHub Universe Keynote?
kalshi

What will Jay Parikh say during GitHub Universe Keynote?

Oct 16, 2026, 3:00 PM EST - Nov 11, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$3,802
Volume 24h:
$2
100%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$2,334
0%

Open Source

 - Kalshi

Open Source - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 11, 2026

Time left: 19d:19h:22m

What will Jay Parikh say during GitHub Universe 2026 — Opening Keynote originally scheduled for October 28, 2026?

76%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 77¢ buys you 130 shares | Odds: 76% Total Payout: $130 | Net Profit: $30 Multiplier: 1.30x | ROI: 30% APY not meaningful 19 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Open Source

Trade
76%
Yes 77¢No 32¢
9¢
N/A
$2,181
0%
N/A
$1,370
2w 5d 19h
active
kalshi

Agent / Agentic

Trade
65%
Yes 64¢No 39¢
3¢
N/A
$1,496
0%
N/A
$851
2w 5d 19h
active
kalshi

Frontier

Trade
61%
Yes 62¢No 50¢
12¢
N/A
$48
0%
N/A
$37
2w 5d 19h
active
kalshi

Foundry

Trade
46%
Yes 49¢No 65¢
14¢
N/A
$50
0%
N/A
$50
2w 5d 19h
active
kalshi

Cybersecurity

Trade
25%
Yes 36¢No 73¢
9¢
N/A
$2
0%
N/A
$2
2w 5d 19h
active
kalshi

GitHub Advanced Security

Trade
25%
Yes 25¢No 95¢
20¢
N/A
$1
0%
N/A
$1
2w 5d 19h
active
kalshi

Vibe Code / Vibe Coding

Trade
17%
Yes 26¢No 83¢
9¢
N/A
$2
0%
N/A
$2
2w 5d 19h
active
kalshi

Event does not qualify

Trade
10%
Yes 11¢No 99¢
10¢
N/A
$21
0%
N/A
$21
2w 5d 19h
active
kalshi

Copilot

Trade
N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 5d 19h
active
kalshi

MCP / Model Context Protocol

Trade
N/A
N/A
9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 5d 19h
active
kalshi

Visual Studio Code / VS Code

Trade
N/A
N/A
8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 5d 19h
active
kalshi

Claude / Anthropic

Trade
N/A
N/A
7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 5d 19h
active
kalshi

Codex / OpenAI

Trade
N/A
N/A
10¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 5d 19h
active
kalshi

Memory

Trade
N/A
N/A
6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 5d 19h
active
Total markets: 14

Description

During a keynote speech at a major technology conference, a speaker may reference various tools, concepts, or trends that are relevant to the audience. The specific mention of certain phrases can indicate the focus areas or priorities being highlighted during the presentation.

Kalshi

Multiple markets exist for whether Jay Parikh utters specific phrases during the GitHub Universe 2026 Opening Keynote. Each market defines a unique phrase (e.g., "Copilot", "Agent / Agentic", "Open Source"), and resolution depends solely on whether Parikh, speaking in an official capacity during the live broadcast, says the exact phrase or its plural/possessive form. Markets resolve to Yes if the phrase is spoken; otherwise, they resolve to No. An "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes if the keynote is canceled, fails to meet payout criteria, or other circumstances prevent normal resolution—automatically setting all other markets to No. If the event is postponed within 14 calendar days, markets remain open. Resolution relies primarily on live video broadcast, with official transcripts used as a tiebreaker if Kalshi employees cannot reach consensus from video alone. Unofficial statements, archival footage, or private conversations do not count toward payout.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the GitHub Universe Keynote market tracks the current odds of various statements being made by Jay Parikh, the price history of those outcomes, and the 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the total volume for this market is $3,802, with $2 traded in the last day. Traders use this information to assess the perceived probability of each outcome and make informed decisions about buying or selling contracts. The dashboard provides a real-time view of market sentiment surrounding the keynote.

Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. While analysts often provide pre-event predictions, this market allows a wider range of participants to express their beliefs, potentially incorporating a broader set of information. If analysts predict a high likelihood of certain topics being discussed, we might see corresponding high prices in this market. However, discrepancies can emerge if traders anticipate surprises or believe analysts are overlooking key factors related to Jay Parikh’s remarks at GitHub Universe.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where buyers and sellers set the odds for each potential outcome. Contracts are priced between 0 and 100, representing the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief about the likelihood of Jay Parikh mentioning specific topics during the GitHub Universe Keynote. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions.

This market resolves around Nov 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on a transcript or official recording of Jay Parikh’s keynote address at GitHub Universe. The market will determine whether specific phrases or topics were explicitly mentioned during the presentation. The outcome will be determined by a review of the official record, ensuring accuracy and transparency in the resolution process.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any official announcements from GitHub regarding the keynote’s agenda or Jay Parikh’s planned topics would be a major catalyst. News reports or social media discussions hinting at the themes he might address could also influence trading activity. Unexpected developments within GitHub or the broader tech industry could shift trader sentiment. Finally, any pre-keynote interviews or statements from Jay Parikh himself would likely have a substantial impact on the prices in this market.