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What will Jamie Raskin say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell?
kalshi

What will Jamie Raskin say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell?

Volume:
$58,123

Ballroom / Pool

 - Kalshi

Ballroom / Pool - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 12, 2026

Closed: Aug 11, 11:10 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ballroom / Pool

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,607
N/A
N/A
$4,804
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Epstein

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,644
N/A
N/A
$3,596
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Pirro / Burgum

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,722
N/A
N/A
$2,503
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Corrupt / Corruption

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,188
N/A
N/A
$2,009
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Blanche

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,062
N/A
N/A
$2,016
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Election

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,529
N/A
N/A
$13,363
Settled
No
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,108
N/A
N/A
$6,769
Settled
No
kalshi

Iran / Iranian

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,016
N/A
N/A
$6,777
Settled
No
kalshi

Trump (3+ times)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,475
N/A
N/A
$4,504
Settled
No
kalshi

Republican

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,075
N/A
N/A
$4,048
Settled
No
kalshi

Healthcare

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,383
N/A
N/A
$1,367
Settled
No
kalshi

Event does not qualify

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,314
N/A
N/A
$1,309
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

The event tracks specific phrases that Jamie Raskin might use during a television interview. It focuses on whether he mentions certain keywords or topics while speaking in an official capacity, with resolution based on broadcast content.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on whether Jamie Raskin utters specified exact phrases during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell broadcast. Each market defines a unique phrase or set of phrases (including plural/possessive forms) that, if spoken by Raskin in an official capacity, trigger a 'Yes' outcome. Resolution relies primarily on video footage of the live broadcast or stream, supplemented by official transcripts if video consensus cannot be reached. Only content included in the original broadcast counts—promotional material is allowed, but advertisements, archival footage, and unaired segments are excluded. Markets automatically resolve to 'Yes' only if the qualifying event fails to occur due to cancellation or other preventing circumstances; otherwise, they resolve to 'No'. Postponements within 14 calendar days keep markets open. Raskin must be speaking officially; background chatter or off-mic remarks do not count.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Jamie Raskin statement market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $58,123. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different outcomes based on recent statements and news. The interface updates continuously, giving you a live view of market sentiment and trading activity around this event.

Compared to analyst forecasts, this market reflects real-time trader sentiment rather than expert predictions. While analysts may offer their views based on policy analysis or past performance, the odds here are driven by crowd-sourced betting activity. Traders react instantly to breaking news, statement excerpts, and media coverage, which can cause rapid shifts in probability that aren’t always mirrored in slower-moving polling or expert commentary.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through continuous bidding and asking, with the current implied probability reflecting the balance of buy and sell orders. Market depth, recent trading volume of $58,123, and order book dynamics all influence the displayed odds. Liquidity can fluctuate based on news cycles, and sharp price moves are common when new information emerges about the event.

This market resolves around Aug 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will hinge on exact wording and context from the broadcast, as evaluated against the market’s defined criteria. Traders should monitor major news outlets and transcripts in the days leading up to settlement for any statements that could affect the result.

Key signals include early leaks, prepared remarks, guest interviews, and live audience reactions on the show. Any shift in Jamie Raskin’s publicly reported positions, follow-up commentary from political analysts, or related news coverage can cause rapid price adjustments. Traders will also watch for trending social media reactions and real-time polling snapshots that reflect public sentiment around his statements.