TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 18, 9:26 AM EST
Kalshi
James Corden will host FOX's After Hours coverage during the FIFA World Cup, providing commentary and analysis on the tournament. These markets track whether specific words or phrases are mentioned during his official on-air remarks throughout the broadcast.
Resolution is based on James Corden speaking in an official capacity during the live FOX broadcast or stream. The exact phrase or word must be used, including plural or possessive forms, though grammatical and tense inflections are otherwise excluded. Plural nouns within proper nouns and noun phrases are included. Only content from the original live broadcast or stream counts; additional content and advertisements are excluded, though promotional content aired during the event is included. Video of the broadcast is the primary resolution source, with official transcripts used if consensus cannot be reached via video. If the event is cancelled or fails to qualify, or if James Corden does not speak in an official capacity (such as inaudible private conversations or unofficial hot mic statements), the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes and all other markets resolve to No. If the event is postponed and rescheduled within 14 calendar days with announcement by the end of the following calendar day, markets remain open.
Prediction market odds reflect real-money bets from traders who profit only if their forecasts prove correct, creating strong incentives for accuracy. Unlike traditional analyst commentary, which may carry editorial bias or lack direct accountability, this market aggregates dispersed information through price discovery. Traders continuously update positions based on new developments, media reports, and Corden's recent public statements, so odds tend to shift faster than published analyst predictions. The market's odds represent a dynamic consensus rather than a single expert opinion, often capturing nuances that formal forecasts miss.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share trades between 0 and 100 cents, with the price reflecting the implied probability that outcome will occur. Traders place limit and market orders, and the spread between bid and ask prices tightens as liquidity increases. The platform displays the current best bid and ask for each outcome, allowing you to execute trades at transparent, real-time rates.
This market resolves around Jun 18, 2026, after James Corden's World Cup commentary on Fox After Hours has aired and can be verified. The outcome is determined by comparing his actual statements during the broadcast against the specific predictions listed in the market. Once credible public sources confirm what was said, the winning outcome is paid out in full and losing outcomes expire at zero. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the event concluding.
Market odds will shift based on Corden's recent public appearances, interviews, and social media activity that hint at his likely commentary style. Breaking news during the World Cup tournament itself—standout player performances, controversial referee decisions, or unexpected match results—may influence what he chooses to highlight on air. Changes in Fox's broadcast schedule or confirmed guest appearances alongside Corden could also signal shifts in tone or focus. As the air date approaches, any leaked clips or promotional material featuring his remarks will likely trigger sharp repricing across all outcomes.