TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 16, 6:40 AM EST
Kalshi
James Corden will host FOX's After Hours coverage of the FIFA World Cup, providing commentary and analysis on the tournament. These markets track whether specific words or phrases are mentioned during his broadcast.
Resolution is based on James Corden speaking in an official capacity during the live broadcast or stream of FOX: FIFA World Cup on Fox After Hours with James Corden. Video will be the primary source for resolution, with official transcripts used if consensus cannot be reached. Each phrase or word must be stated exactly as specified (including plural or possessive forms), though grammatical and tense inflections are not required. Only content from the original live broadcast counts; additional content, advertisements, and inaudible private conversations do not qualify. Promotional content aired during the event is included. If the event is cancelled or fails to qualify under these criteria, or if James Corden does not speak in an official capacity, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes and all other markets resolve to No. If the event is postponed and rescheduled within 14 calendar days with announcement by the end of the following calendar day, markets remain open.
Prediction market odds reflect real-money commitments from traders who profit when their forecasts prove correct, creating strong incentives for accuracy. Analyst forecasts, by contrast, often rely on subjective judgment and may not incorporate rapid new information. This market aggregates dispersed knowledge from many participants, typically outperforming individual expert predictions on entertainment and media outcomes. While analysts might emphasize historical patterns or Corden's past commentary style, traders here price in breaking news, social media sentiment, and live event developments, making odds a dynamic alternative to traditional forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each potential outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome has its own contract, and the current bid-ask spread reflects the market's confidence in that scenario. As traders place orders, prices adjust in real time, with higher prices indicating greater perceived likelihood. You can enter limit or market orders to take positions, and your profit or loss depends on whether the final outcome matches your prediction.
This market resolves around Jun 17, 2026, once the World Cup broadcast and any relevant Fox After Hours segment conclude. The outcome is determined by verifying Corden's actual statements against credible public sources, including broadcast recordings and official Fox transcripts. Resolution occurs after sufficient time has passed for reliable documentation to emerge, ensuring all traders have access to the same factual record. Until that point, odds may fluctuate as new information about the broadcast becomes available.
Several catalysts could shift odds significantly. Announcements about which World Cup matches Corden will cover, or changes to Fox's broadcast schedule, may alter expectations about his commentary opportunities. Social media trends and fan speculation about his likely remarks can influence trader sentiment. Breaking news related to the tournament itself—standout player performances, controversial calls, or unexpected results—might prompt traders to reassess what Corden will discuss. Additionally, any public statements Corden makes before the broadcast, or clips from rehearsals, could provide concrete signals that move prices sharply.