TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 8, 1:10 AM EST
Kalshi
James Corden will host a post-match show on Fox during the FIFA World Cup, providing commentary and analysis on tournament events. The show will feature discussion of players, teams, and World Cup-related topics throughout the broadcast.
Resolution is determined by monitoring the live broadcast or stream of FOX: FIFA World Cup on Fox After Hours with James Corden for specific word or phrase mentions. Each designated term—including Trump, Gianni/Infantino, Golden Boot, Mbappe, Red Card, Pyramid, AI/Artificial Intelligence, England, Beckham, Ronaldo, GOAT, Belgium, Offside/Offsides, and VAR—triggers a Yes resolution if spoken during the program. The exact phrase or word must be used; plural and possessive forms are acceptable, but other grammatical variations are not required. Resolution relies primarily on video evidence of the broadcast; if video consensus cannot be reached by Kalshi employees, official transcripts (internal or external) serve as the secondary source. Only content from the original live broadcast or stream counts toward resolution; additional content, advertisements, and non-promotional material are excluded, though promotional content aired during the event is included. If the event is postponed and rescheduled within 14 calendar days with announcement by the end of the following calendar day, markets remain open.
Prediction market odds reflect real-money trader positioning and incentives to be accurate, often diverging from casual analyst commentary or media speculation. While traditional sports analysts may rely on historical patterns or subjective judgment, this market aggregates distributed information from participants who face direct financial consequences for incorrect predictions. Over time, markets tend to incorporate breaking news and shifting context faster than published forecasts, though both sources can offer complementary perspectives on what Corden might say during World Cup coverage.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the implied probability that traders assign to that outcome occurring. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, bid and ask spreads adjust accordingly, and the last-traded price serves as the market's real-time consensus. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how tightly prices cluster around fair value.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the World Cup coverage on Fox After Hours concludes and statements can be verified. The outcome is determined by comparing Corden's actual on-air remarks against the specific prediction options offered. Resolution hinges on credible public reporting of what was said during the broadcast, ensuring all traders have access to the same factual record. Early resolution may occur if the event is postponed or if coverage is cancelled.
Market prices may shift based on Corden's recent public statements, Fox's scheduling announcements, or World Cup developments that might influence his commentary angle. Breaking news about the tournament, player injuries, or controversial moments could reshape trader expectations about what topics he'll address. Social media trends and entertainment news cycles may also signal which themes are top-of-mind for broadcasters. As the broadcast date approaches, any hints from Fox's promotional materials or Corden's own media appearances could trigger repricing across all outcomes.