TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 4, 11:40 AM EST
Kalshi
James Corden will host a post-match show on Fox during the FIFA World Cup, providing commentary and analysis on the tournament. This event tracks whether he mentions specific words, names, or phrases during the broadcast.
Resolution is determined by monitoring the live broadcast or stream of FOX: FIFA World Cup on Fox After Hours with James Corden for the exact utterance of specified terms. Each term must be spoken in its exact form, plural, or possessive variation—grammatical and tense inflections are not counted separately. Plural nouns within proper nouns and noun phrases are included. Video evidence from the original broadcast is the primary resolution source; official transcripts serve as secondary verification if video consensus cannot be reached. Only content from the original live broadcast or stream counts; additional content, advertisements, and non-promotional material are excluded, while promotional content aired during the event is included. If the event is postponed and rescheduled within 14 calendar days with announcement by the end of the following calendar day, markets remain open.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they reflect real-time aggregation of trader beliefs rather than a single expert opinion. In this market, the odds represent collective expectations about what Corden will say, updated continuously as new information emerges. Analysts may rely on historical patterns or prepared talking points, while traders incorporate breaking news, social media signals, and live event developments. This market's odds tend to be more dynamic and responsive than static forecasts, making them useful for tracking how expectations evolve leading up to the broadcast.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome is assigned a probability-weighted price between 0 and 100 cents, reflecting the likelihood that Corden will say that particular phrase or statement. As traders place bids and asks, the price adjusts to balance supply and demand. The tighter the spread between buy and sell prices, the more consensus exists around that outcome's probability.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, after the World Cup broadcast on Fox After Hours concludes. The outcome is determined by verifying what James Corden actually says during the program against credible public sources, including broadcast recordings and official transcripts. Once the event is confirmed and documented, the winning outcome is paid out to traders who held the correct prediction. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the broadcast ending, allowing for rapid settlement.
Several catalysts could shift odds in this market before resolution. Breaking news related to the World Cup, major upsets, or controversial moments during earlier matches may influence what commentators discuss, including Corden's likely remarks. Social media trends and fan reactions can signal which topics will dominate post-game commentary. Additionally, any public statements or interviews Corden gives before the broadcast could hint at his talking points. Real-time developments during the tournament itself—injuries, unexpected results, or viral moments—will likely drive trading activity as participants adjust their predictions.