TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 2, 2:10 AM EST
Kalshi
James Corden will host a post-match show on Fox during the FIFA World Cup, providing commentary and analysis on World Cup events. This market tracks whether he mentions specific words or phrases related to soccer, players, and match terminology during the broadcast.
Resolution is determined by monitoring the live broadcast or official stream of FOX: FIFA World Cup on Fox After Hours with James Corden. Each specified term—including player names (Trump, Mbappe, Messi, Beckham, Ronaldo, Haaland, Neymar), match-related terminology (Record, Golden Boot, Red Card, Offside/Offsides, Equalize/Equalizer/Equalized), sport references (Soccer), country names (England), and other terms (AI/Artificial Intelligence, Row/Rowing, Knight/Knighted/Knighthood)—must be stated exactly as specified, including plural or possessive forms. Grammatical and tense inflections beyond pluralization and possession are not required. Resolution relies primarily on video evidence; if consensus cannot be reached, official transcripts serve as secondary verification. Only content from the original live broadcast or stream counts; additional content, advertisements, and non-promotional material are excluded, though promotional content aired during the event is included. If the event is postponed and rescheduled within 14 calendar days with announcement by the end of the following calendar day, markets remain open.
Prediction market odds differ from traditional analyst forecasts because they aggregate real-money bets rather than expert opinion. Traders in this market are financially incentivized to accurately predict Corden's commentary, creating a crowdsourced probability estimate. While sports analysts and entertainment commentators may speculate on his likely remarks, prediction markets reflect actual trader conviction backed by capital at risk. This market's odds can shift rapidly as new information emerges, whereas analyst forecasts typically remain static until formally updated.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices reflect the collective belief of market participants about what Corden will say during the broadcast. Each outcome has its own price, typically ranging from near-zero to near-100 cents per share, with the sum of all outcome prices equaling one dollar. As traders place bids and asks, prices adjust dynamically to balance supply and demand.
This market resolves around Jul 17, 2026, once the World Cup After Hours broadcast concludes and Corden's commentary can be verified. The outcome is determined by comparing his actual statements during the show against the specific prediction options available in this market. Resolution occurs after credible public reporting or video evidence confirms what was said, allowing traders to settle their positions. The exact timing depends on broadcast duration and verification availability.
Market prices may shift based on Corden's recent public statements, his hosting history, and any pre-broadcast interviews where he hints at his World Cup commentary angle. News about the tournament itself, standout player performances, or controversial moments could influence trader expectations about his likely remarks. Social media speculation and entertainment media coverage of Corden's involvement may also drive trading activity. As the broadcast date approaches, increased media attention typically amplifies volatility in entertainment-focused prediction markets like this one.