TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.4b
24H VOL:
$104,871,197
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,643,541,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,592,701,755
469,827
Markets across
35,657
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,899
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Ion (3+ times)
- Kalshi
Ion (3+ times) - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 20, 2026
Time left: 05d:15h:48m
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This event tracks whether specific keywords are mentioned during Intuitive Surgical's upcoming earnings call. Participants can speculate on the likelihood of certain topics being discussed, reflecting potential strategic priorities or challenges the company might address publicly.
The event evaluates whether designated keywords are uttered by any Intuitive Surgical representative during the live earnings call or its official broadcast, including Q&A sessions. Resolution relies first on video recordings of the call; if Kalshi employees cannot reach consensus, transcripts from specified news publications will be used. Payout hinges on the exact phrase or its plural/possessive forms being spoken, excluding grammatical or tense variations. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with Intuitive Surgical, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective assessment of what Intuitive Surgical management will discuss on the earnings call. This differs from traditional analyst forecasts, which are typically based on modeling and individual research. The market aggregates insights from a diverse group of traders, potentially capturing information not readily available to analysts. It's important to note that this market represents a forward-looking view, attempting to predict what *will* be said, rather than analyzing past performance or current financial data. Comparing this market to analyst expectations provides a unique perspective on potential announcements.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different statements, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that statement being made during the Intuitive Surgical earnings call. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are influenced by various factors, including news releases, analyst reports, and overall market sentiment regarding Intuitive Surgical’s performance and future outlook.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, following the conclusion of Intuitive Surgical’s next earnings call. The outcome will be determined by a review of the official transcript of the call, and verified against credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will assess whether each statement listed was explicitly mentioned by Intuitive Surgical’s executives during the call. The outcome is based on direct statements made, not interpretations or implications of the earnings call content. Any ambiguity will be resolved in favor of the outcome that is most clearly supported by the transcript.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Unexpected news regarding Intuitive Surgical's product pipeline, regulatory approvals, or competitive landscape would likely cause price fluctuations. Any pre-earnings announcements or guidance revisions from the company itself would also be a major catalyst. Broader market trends affecting the healthcare sector or technology stocks could also influence trading activity. Finally, any leaks or rumors regarding the content of the earnings call, while discouraged, could move this market as traders react to potentially new information.