TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 26, 9:37 AM EST
Kalshi
During Intuit's upcoming earnings call, participants will monitor whether specific product names, strategic terms, or financial metrics are mentioned. The focus is on tracking explicit references to designated phrases that signal potential business directions or product emphasis.
All markets resolve based on whether specified exact phrases are uttered by any Intuit Inc. representative during the earnings call, including Q+A sessions. Resolution primarily uses video recordings, with transcripts serving as backup if video consensus cannot be reached. Only the exact phrase, its plural, or possessive form counts — grammatical variations do not qualify. All markets operate under the same verification framework, with Kalshi explicitly disclaiming any official affiliation with Intuit. The outcome hinges purely on verbal acknowledgment of the predefined terms during the designated call.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced interpretation of expected outcomes. While analysts may provide detailed guidance based on models and historical performance, traders in this market price in real-time sentiment and may react faster to new information or shifts in market mood.
This market resolves around Dec 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will close based on the official transcript or verified summaries from Intuit's earnings call, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.
Key signals that could shift odds in this market include pre-earnings report leaks, analyst upgrades or downgrades, major economic data releases affecting tech stocks, and any unexpected comments from Intuit executives in interim interviews or social media. Each of these can cause rapid re-pricing as traders adjust expectations ahead of the call.